Token Launches · resolved market
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2b9c5b881902c57a3ce9c8fe68848592136a728448b601bf09b4be6304394e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $349,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x940c…b266backed No | 42c | 11,767$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960.16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c5…8356backed No | 17c | 10,551$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.99 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…b94ebacked No | 20c | 9,707$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.49 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked No | 8c | 9,096$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.95 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28b8backed Yes | 40c | 7,580$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,517.27 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…48c1backed No | 18c | 7,574$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.71 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…0926backed No | 31c | 6,740$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.48 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked No | 28c | 5,418$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.28 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 51c | 5,361$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.15 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 50c | 5,123$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.48 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 43c | 4,469$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.47 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 18c | 4,416$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.63 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 37c | 4,404$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.57 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…467bbacked Yes | 60c | 3,700$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.99 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…806bbacked Yes | 36c | 3,479$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.87 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…f52bbacked Yes | 64c | 3,129$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 20c | 3,013$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.23 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 39c | 2,965$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.37 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 56c | 2,841$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.04 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…303fbacked Yes | 58c | 2,695$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed No | 59c | 2,638$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed Yes | 59c | 2,619$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.55 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 39c | 2,587$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.33 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1a…cbaebacked Yes | 42c | 2,497$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 8c | 2,404$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…045abacked Yes | 41c | 2,403$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…8332backed No | 45c | 2,217$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8571…edefbacked Yes | 30c | 2,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x706e…fabebacked No | 70c | 2,200$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…d520backed No | 15c | 2,191$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.31 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…bd40backed No | 45c | 2,130$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed No | 70c | 2,120$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.58 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab4…b5a2backed Yes | 55c | 2,105$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…ec01backed Yes | 66c | 2,100$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4b…7e8ebacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…400cbacked Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…6765backed Yes | 37c | 1,988$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.69 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…93fcbacked No | 20c | 1,984$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.57 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…b005backed Yes | 80c | 1,878$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed No | 19c | 1,753$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.68 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x296d…70f9backed No | 48c | 1,733$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.25 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67ab…283fbacked No | 1c | 1,700$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…3569backed No | 37c | 1,671$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 41c | 1,549$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.77 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…6979backed Yes | 62c | 1,530$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.3 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…1773backed Yes | 61c | 1,495$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.51 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…9034backed No | 16c | 1,438$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…bea0backed No | 31c | 1,421$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed Yes | 42c | 1,350$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.95 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…b4f5backed Yes | 26c | 1,325$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d23…70febacked Yes | 50c | 1,249$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 62c | 1,219$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.12 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…c659backed No | 14c | 1,215$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.81 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed No | 73c | 1,108$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.07 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 1,054$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…8d68backed Yes | 46c | 1,051$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.05 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…7a0ebacked No | 74c | 1,051$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fb…41bfbacked Yes | 51c | 1,044$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…85c9backed No | 44c | 1,032$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.98 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 52c | 1,000$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d68…4f6dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…b1b4backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30a…34afbacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 40c | 999.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.71 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 4c | 950$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…ac8fbacked Yes | 79c | 930.67$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.56 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…f992backed Yes | 60c | 913.78$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.59 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 33c | 912.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.56 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed No | 35c | 911.71$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.1 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…efaebacked Yes | 78c | 893.58$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed No | 68c | 840$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.2 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…dd57backed Yes | 52c | 816.13$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 4c | 800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…64e8backed Yes | 63c | 792.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked No | 37c | 738.8$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.75 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad12…f015backed Yes | 61c | 735.55$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Yes | 66c | 727.57$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…f496backed Yes | 51c | 724.65$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.04 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48e…550dbacked Yes | 44c | 722.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd10…fc0bbacked Yes | 72c | 704.73$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.26 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…6018backed No | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…8f1cbacked No | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 47c | 687.7$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.59 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes | 65c | 684.6$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.6 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…49aabacked No | 17c | 682.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.22 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…20a3backed No | 18c | 674.21$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 15c | 667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bad…43babacked No | 55c | 662.16$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…2f2dbacked No | 79c | 655.1$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…918cbacked Yes | 48c | 616.44$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…b6cbbacked Yes | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked No | 71c | 600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 58cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 63c | 585.56$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.56 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6975…6064backed Yes | 52c | 577.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 14c | 569.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…139bbacked Yes | 34c | 566.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 74c | 564.45$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.89 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…c640backed Yes | 51c | 562.01$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.01 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…773dbacked Yes | 77c | 558.55$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac8…c41dbacked No | 73c | 555.04$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.83 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?this page
- Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No won
- Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes won
- Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.