Token Launches · resolved market
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x350b4923d63cfab3b3a3cdfd8711886992431232191020aa7984def370d53497
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $390,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x940c…b266backed No | 78c | 23,182$18,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,110.27 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…c465backed Yes | 23c | 20,117$4,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,614.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 75c | 16,781$12,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225.38 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…806bbacked Yes | 26c | 6,818$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.59 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…0926backed No | 72c | 6,541$4,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.71 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 74c | 5,098$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 25c | 4,798$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.98 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…2dd9backed No | 77c | 4,164$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.81 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…400cbacked Yes | 29c | 4,114$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.67 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28b8backed Yes | 26c | 4,062$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.67 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…a3a3backed No | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 25c | 3,806$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.4 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 27c | 3,614$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.68 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…f63abacked Yes | 28c | 3,450$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…f52bbacked Yes | 31c | 3,324$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…b40abacked No | 72c | 3,279$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc3…8548backed Yes | 29c | 3,250$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.35 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…439ebacked Yes | 28c | 3,195$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.06 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed No | 71c | 3,193$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.13 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 71c | 3,159$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.11 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…bea0backed Yes | 11c | 3,098$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed No | 68c | 3,035$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.08 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x296d…70f9backed No | 58c | 2,961$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.35 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…303fbacked Yes | 27c | 2,933$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…c0bebacked Yes | 68c | 2,926$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.99 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…3047backed Yes | 37c | 2,494$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…48c1backed No | 61c | 2,461$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.92 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed No | 57c | 2,430$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.61 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 74c | 2,413$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.57 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 70c | 2,376$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.15 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 66c | 2,222$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.58 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f9…c5e8backed No | 27c | 2,180$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.85 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +17.9wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…b6cbbacked Yes | 35c | 2,125$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.07 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadee…20aabacked Yes | 48c | 2,099$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 76c | 2,035$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.73 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 66c | 2,033$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.25 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…6765backed Yes | 19c | 1,984$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.17 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…24ebbacked No | 63c | 1,957$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked No | 68c | 1,855$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 66c | 1,752$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.35 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…404dbacked No | 77c | 1,743$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Yes | 39c | 1,723$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…ebe0backed No | 75c | 1,713$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a9…c9a2backed Yes | 17c | 1,681$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1,138.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b8…9fbdbacked No | 68c | 1,675$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ab…283fbacked No | 65c | 1,648$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 26c | 1,500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe492…f21bbacked No | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.98 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…92bbbacked No | 78c | 1,489$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…6979backed Yes | 29c | 1,452$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.94 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 22c | 1,441$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.15 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…f496backed No | 75c | 1,437$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.22 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 28c | 1,400$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.99 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…a240backed No | 72c | 1,398$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7383…4e68backed Yes | 29c | 1,322$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe430…96a0backed No | 68c | 1,303$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 58c | 1,299$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.24 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Yes | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4a79backed No | 72c | 1,174$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.54 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 2c | 1,111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c5…8356backed Yes | 39c | 1,010$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.29 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…39eebacked Yes | 30c | 1,003$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 74c | 1,000$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.33 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…04a2backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50fe…6143backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…0f3dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…875abacked Yes | 72c | 979.74$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.22 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes | 74c | 957.67$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf019…bcd4backed Yes | 47c | 954.96$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 52c | 937.17$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.84 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed No | 67c | 900$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 75c | 864.42$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.1 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc3…84efbacked Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417c…86dabacked Yes | 33c | 849.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…5c05backed No | 70c | 836$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…983dbacked Yes | 32c | 807.14$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8571…edefbacked Yes | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…c336backed No | 75c | 733.99$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…7c9fbacked No | 56c | 707.88$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…ff5abacked No | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef8e…7465backed Yes | 31c | 666.35$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…ac60backed Yes | 29c | 663.23$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…7be5backed Yes | 30c | 660$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…f797backed Yes | 30c | 660$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 63c | 640.7$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.76 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 78c | 617.87$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab4…b5a2backed Yes | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…dad6backed Yes | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Yes | 32c | 590$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c0…488abacked Yes | 73c | 580$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd5…aa9ebacked No | 47c | 564.68$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…a166backed No | 63c | 555$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed No | 71c | 550.89$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.7 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed No | 66c | 549.67$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.89 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d1…62c2backed No | 68c | 545.33$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.88 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f9…14d4backed Yes | 29c | 542$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…20a3backed Yes | 15c | 539.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?this page
- Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No won
- Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes won
- Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes won
- Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.