TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd7ee…9597

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
234
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT16247.5%77 W · 85 L+13.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 162 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Squid FDV above $40M one day after launchbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Squid FDV above $75M one day after launchbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.99
Squid FDV above $100M one day after launchbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$25.39
GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$93.96
Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$131.99
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,207
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$858Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$857.72
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,595.3
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,171.44
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$2,628.81
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,520
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$687.85
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$591.07
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,190.41
MegaETH FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$258.42
MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.96
MegaETH FDV above $1.8B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.73
MegaETH FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.56
MegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
MegaETH FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.11
MegaETH FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.42
MegaETH FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.62
MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,846Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,846.02
Showing 25 of 162 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$848.91
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21,848Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+527.8%+$115,303.51
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,460
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.54
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,944.32
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,592.3
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,322.12
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$935Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+55%+$514.76
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,975Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$2,024.99
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$726
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
All 15 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,970Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+71.2%+$1,403.64
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22.37
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$152.76
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+27.3%+$305.33
Will Great Britain win the 3rd most medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will France win the 3rd most medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$14
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$351.98
Will France win Gold in Women's Basketball?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+28.1%+$116.86
Will the USA win Gold in Women's Basketball?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$70.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-84.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-74.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.99
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$591.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$479.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,346.55
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+38.9%+$84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$455.33
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$3,511.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+63.7%+$194.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,532Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+36.9%+$565.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$328.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$135
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. Team Spiritbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,380
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.