Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. Team Spirit
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2312d909fba039b68f5dfb9c645022138ca9432abb07ee5dee1516092b973c41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea0f…23b1backed Team Spirit | 18c | 52,616$9,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,244.16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Falcons | 71c | 23,964$16,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,990.61 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Falcons | 72c | 10,892$7,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.92 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…4f82backed Team Spirit | 29c | 8,365$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Spirit | 45c | 6,581$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.03 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…a1fcbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 3,471$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 3,450$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.5 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 2,734$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.29 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…b487backed Team Spirit | 39c | 2,659$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.08 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 2,461$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.71 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Team Falcons | 67c | 2,250$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.67 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 1,962$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ef…9a66backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,721$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Team Spirit | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,495$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.12 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…d936backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,083$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Team Spirit | 35c | 1,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Team Spirit | 29c | 860.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Team Spirit | 41c | 732.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Team Falcons | 58c | 724.17$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.15 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 680$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.4 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Team Spirit | 32c | 620.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Team Spirit | 42c | 600$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.17 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Spirit | 9c | 567.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed Team Falcons | 58c | 545.4$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.98 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Falcons | 73c | 515.2$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.1 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…389fbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 509.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.19 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 462.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…1f8cbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 415.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Falcons | 56c | 372.48$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.05 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2d…722cbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 345.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Team Spirit | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a4…3f65backed Team Spirit | 26c | 300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…644fbacked Team Spirit | 35c | 284.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Spirit | 43c | 284.18$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Falcons | 53c | 263.74$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.06 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20bd…dff3backed Team Spirit | 38c | 260.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Team Spirit | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…587bbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 243.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…a1e5backed Team Spirit | 42c | 213.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…66a4backed Team Spirit | 49c | 204.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Team Falcons | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…ba20backed Team Spirit | 33c | 183.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…7d27backed Team Spirit | 57c | 175.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 63c | 170.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ba…c1b0backed Team Falcons | 58c | 168.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Team Spirit | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6825…7114backed Team Spirit | 16c | 142.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Team Spirit | 20c | 126.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b1…70edbacked Team Spirit | 20c | 126.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b98…7ecbbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 110.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Team Spirit | 46c | 110.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…312dbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 95.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed58…81f3backed Team Falcons | 58c | 94.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…42eebacked Team Spirit | 44c | 93.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Team Spirit | 43c | 91.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…64cfbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…3d7dbacked Team Spirit | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Team Spirit | 43c | 81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Team Falcons | 53c | 79.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…4f48backed Team Spirit | 39c | 65.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…5787backed Team Spirit | 42c | 56.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…c0dabacked Team Falcons | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…ed3ebacked Team Spirit | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Team Spirit | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…ff67backed Team Spirit | 27c | 38.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…be51backed Team Spirit | 28c | 38.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…fbc7backed Team Falcons | 56c | 38.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…be40backed Team Falcons | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…fe26backed Team Falcons | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed Team Falcons | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…08ebbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb943…b538backed Team Falcons | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d8…289ebacked Team Spirit | 45c | 26.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd70f…78b4backed Team Falcons | 57c | 19.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.