TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c5a…5787

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST3650%18 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Alexandra Ealabacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$301.44
Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Olga Danilovicbacked Danilovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Japan Women's Open: Naomi Osaka vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$31.96
Japan Women's Open: Rebecca Sramkova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Ningbo Open: Victoria Mboko vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.5
Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Ealabacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.92
Ningbo Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$27
Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.23
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.24
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Yulia Putintseva vs Talia Gibsonbacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+100%+$35
Wuhan Tennis Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$76
Wuhan Tennis Open: Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.44
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Iga Swiatekbacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$91.11
Wuhan Tennis Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+75%+$47.17
Wuhan Tennis Open: Linda Noskova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.99
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Clara Tausonbacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+141.2%+$101.68
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+100%+$30.65
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Yue Yuanbacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+74.7%+$30.25
Wuhan Tennis Open: Naomi Osaka vs Linda Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+157.7%+$61.2
Wuhan Tennis Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Coco Gauffbacked Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.9
Wuhan Tennis Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+69.3%+$26.6
Wuhan Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.5
Wuhan Tennis Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Laura Siegemundbacked Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+348.4%+$102.78
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Wuhan Tennis Open: Linda Noskova vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+69%+$103.58
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.9
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.97
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$91.77
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.79
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+145%+$32.63
Thunder vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+61.2%+$25.38
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$37.78
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.