NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x332ccf6a70732b039b3bc872c59d622050838086c3b288590362bbb2584728e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 49c | 10,378$5,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,323.13 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Heat | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Heat | 37c | 8,295$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.33 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Heat | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.1 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Magic | 63c | 1,909$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.51 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked Magic | 63c | 1,650$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Magic | 47c | 1,623$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.57 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Magic | 65c | 1,543$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.23 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 63c | 1,061$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.57 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Magic | 49c | 1,014$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.1 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Heat | 36c | 1,000$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.92 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Heat | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 2c | 926.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…e577backed Magic | 66c | 755.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Magic | 52c | 677.74$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.14 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48cc…ca52backed Magic | 63c | 643.35$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…058dbacked Heat | 38c | 638.42$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Magic | 45c | 600$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Heat | 47c | 583.06$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.04 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Magic | 63c | 577.52$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.52 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Magic | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat | 34c | 473.68$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.05 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…437cbacked Magic | 63c | 424.59$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Magic | 63c | 391$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b8…be4cbacked Magic | 63c | 338.22$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.14 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Magic | 63c | 331$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.47 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Heat | 46c | 321.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Heat | 37c | 293.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed Heat | 75c | 287.96$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.18 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Magic | 71c | 283.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 75c | 273.01$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.74 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Magic | 42c | 225.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Magic | 57c | 201.84$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…f659backed Heat | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…7dc7backed Magic | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Heat | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Magic | 53c | 199.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Magic | 49c | 197.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Heat | 64c | 190$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Heat | 45c | 180.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Magic | 59c | 171.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x280a…d91ebacked Heat | 77c | 170.36$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Magic | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…0f34backed Magic | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Magic | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e3…d1bdbacked Magic | 62c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Heat | 38c | 149.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Heat | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…dc37backed Magic | 63c | 127.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…d8b7backed Magic | 37c | 122.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Magic | 64c | 121.45$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Heat | 19c | 120.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Magic | 54c | 116.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b0…2368backed Heat | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Heat | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Heat | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…9081backed Heat | 38c | 99.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Magic | 63c | 98.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Magic | 61c | 95.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4562…aa66backed Magic | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Magic | 43c | 92.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed Magic | 63c | 91.27$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8657…5741backed Heat | 45c | 89.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 252 | 43.7%110 W · 142 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Heat | 23c | 85.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Magic | 62c | 78.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…6720backed Magic | 62c | 74.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Magic | 27c | 73.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Heat | 38c | 68.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…5787backed Magic | 62c | 66.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…5ddfbacked Magic | 63c | 66.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Magic | 62c | 64.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 564 | 66.8%377 W · 187 L | +41.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5776…694abacked Magic | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Heat | 42c | 62.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Magic | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Magic | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Heat | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Heat | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Heat | 77c | 51.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 177 | 69.5%123 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…f935backed Heat | 39c | 51.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ca…3070backed Heat | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…6bb0backed Magic | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127c…3743backed Magic | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…9780backed Magic | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Magic | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…c4a4backed Magic | 63c | 47.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Magic | 62c | 47.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Heat | 37c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Heat | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Magic | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…c102backed Heat | 60c | 34.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc897…9e6cbacked Magic | 80c | 31.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140c…7793backed Magic | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…329ebacked Heat | 51c | 29.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Heat | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c66…dc0dbacked Heat | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e5…1dd0backed Magic | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 416 | 54.8%228 W · 188 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Heat | 48c | 21.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Heatthis page
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 208.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.