TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7fb…f935

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT6055%33 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$23.38
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
BNP Paribas Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Ostrava Open: Katie Boulter vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$31.26
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sara Bejlek vs Clara Tausonbacked Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+177.8%+$44.44
Ostrava Open: Diane Parry vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sonay Kartal vs Sara Bejlekbacked Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Open Sud de France: Martin Damm vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$14.3
Ostrava Open: Katie Boulter vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+84.9%+$30.57
Open Sud de France: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+122%+$36.59
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Alexandra Eala vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+143.9%+$60.44
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+177.8%+$58.67
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keysbacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+58.7%+$15.27
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-2.5) vs Tien (+2.5)backed Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+27%+$12.98
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+73.3%+$55
Australian Open Women's: Karolina Muchova vs Magda Linettebacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+138.1%+$95.29
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$10.15
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-47.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Texans vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$30.82
Colts vs. Ramsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Eagles vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Panthers vs. Patriotsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$67.59
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$104
Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$230.96
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick31cpaid+163.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+187.8%+$56.35
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+300%+$45
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+83.5%+$12.53
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+525%+$78.75
LoL: Disguised vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+508.6%+$88.29
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$40.07
White Sox vs. Nationalsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Astros vs. Angelsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Pirates vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$121
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$45
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.57
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+68.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+45.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Monacobacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$16.19
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Panathinaikosbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+150%+$75
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.54
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kenny Hallaert win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$162.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.