TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Open Sud de France: Martin Damm vs Roberto Bautista Agut

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dammof Damm, Agut
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5c1…7487backed Agut12c5,888$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.017630.3%23 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb229…7298backed Agut41c4,444$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8222842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Damm59c3,905$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.469264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Agut45c3,209$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.065623.2%13 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Agut43c3,033$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.1225428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Damm57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.979044.4%40 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Agut41c2,684$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.9376140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Damm57c2,062$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.6443051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Damm59c1,627$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.4642042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbc4…c01ebacked Damm60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b72…751ebacked Agut40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Agut17c1,415$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.342,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Agut41c1,250$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.4911045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Agut31c1,096$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.487,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ea…9d00backed Agut43c1,055$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Damm55c1,055$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.7563247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Agut43c1,021$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4398150.6%41 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Damm59c999.97$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.994459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcff9…79eabacked Agut43c999$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Damm55c984.23$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.94748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Damm55c927$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.1526545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Damm59c853.12$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.1260053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Agut40c831.18$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.471,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d63…0e2bbacked Agut43c810$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x665e…b053backed Agut43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Damm59c762.71$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.7126158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Damm59c750$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.545457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Damm59c678.94$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.9410862%67 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Damm59c674.35$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.3519846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb3c…0f07backed Damm57c645$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked Damm69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7115951.6%82 W · 77 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Agut6c552.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1510815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+248.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70e4…c76abacked Damm57c528$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb102…b9febacked Damm57c527$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.61580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Agut41c502.06$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.414,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x420e…e3c9backed Agut10c496.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6612256.6%69 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b36…7ea7backed Damm57c449$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4583…64f8backed Damm57c440$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Damm58c430$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.614225.4%36 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Agut42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1682441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a5…665ebacked Damm57c361$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45c0…1bccbacked Damm57c360$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80e7…6906backed Damm57c354$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b9…5f61backed Agut43c351.16$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Agut15c350$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.566831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Damm58c346.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0237444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa845…e0babacked Damm59c339.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Agut7c322$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9375748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1362…16ccbacked Agut41c318.84$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.484540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Agut42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12654547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Agut43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12929636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Damm65c294.96$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.11,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe81c…a724backed Damm59c288.14$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.142774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Damm67c267.25$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.552,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Agut43c260.47$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11226462.1%164 W · 100 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ad…e93cbacked Agut39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bff…5e35backed Agut39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003450%17 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Damm59c255.05$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.579749.5%48 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1c4…a218backed Agut40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Agut42c236.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.972542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc85…8644backed Damm58c217$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4095…f786backed Agut42c215$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…66f8backed Agut42c214$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb4…227ebacked Damm58c214$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd4…9169backed Agut42c213$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x869d…3885backed Damm58c212$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee58…4efbbacked Agut42c210$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab97…5b21backed Damm58c209$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Damm62c204$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.979541.1%39 W · 56 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Damm58c199.62$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6288446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Damm58c197.42$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6611454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Agut6c183.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb740…2ec1backed Damm59c170.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6335157%200 W · 151 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc067…e97cbacked Damm59c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.76953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x458d…b7c8backed Damm58c170$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.41861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Damm59c168.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0813652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb485…f560backed Agut19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306127.9%17 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Damm60c154.5$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.837071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450c…46cebacked Agut13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201070%7 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.37per pick33cpaid+106.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1ec1…d5a3backed Agut48c152$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Agut42c143$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.061,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Agut40c136.76$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.772,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Agut42c134.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4918133.1%60 W · 121 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Damm58c130$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.658753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Agut16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Agut33c123.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9452037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Damm74c121.22$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2949143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Agut11c113$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.431,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Damm73c111.69$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4327543.3%119 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Agut36c101.35$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Damm59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4151539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x279b…2365backed Agut43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437237.5%27 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Agut42c99.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.992450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Agut42c89.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.837238.2%142 W · 230 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db0…73f1backed Damm57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7216558.8%97 W · 68 L-0.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Damm58c86.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6430053.3%160 W · 140 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Agut43c85.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3460240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64f8…8cadbacked Damm59c76.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.273842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Damm55c72.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5765849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Agut41c69.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.724,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.