TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7bff…5e35

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: UFC, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT3450%17 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.27
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.73
Madrid Open: Caty McNally vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.1
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Koprivabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.27
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$105.22
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.7
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$76.86
Madrid Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Cristina Bucsabacked Cristina Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.89
Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.93
Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$98.35
Madrid Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+237.3%+$113.66
Madrid Open: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.43
Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$99.54
Madrid Open, Qualification: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$110.07
Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$169.46
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$95.98
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$73.76
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$186.61
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcanbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.05
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$207.44
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Liudmila Samsonova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$86.47
Qatar Total Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$96.48
Open Sud de France: Martin Damm vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Transylvania Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+49.4%+$86.45
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.55
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.46
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$116.19
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$119.27
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$129.72
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$85.33
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$73.13
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$140
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$236.77
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$296.86
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$163.64
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100%+$100.42
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Panthers vs. Blackhawksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$122.73
Penguins vs. Canucksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$97.82
Devils vs. Krakenbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$133.62
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$128.47
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$63.13
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$57.04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$24.6
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+57.8%+$35.88
All 10 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+98.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.7%+$108.35
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$77.27
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.52
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$50.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.8
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100.46
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$450
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.2%+$46.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26%+$61.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$101.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.