NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7bbc4932407cb372a2cad117c5e15a6d01b08a409a31058be5fd1b9d7720c76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Avalanche, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $785,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $784,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $785,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 559 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Senators | 43c | 294,990$126,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168,774.73 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Senators | 43c | 72,452$31,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,297.45 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 58c | 70,151$40,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,509.47 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Avalanche | 57c | 46,000$26,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,220 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Avalanche | 57c | 37,500$21,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,250 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Avalanche | 57c | 28,000$15,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,960 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Avalanche | 57c | 25,300$14,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,421 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 57c | 24,370$13,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,850.29 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…833cbacked Avalanche | 58c | 20,775$12,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,049.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche | 54c | 18,238$9,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,926.3 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Senators | 44c | 17,652$7,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,885.36 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Avalanche | 59c | 15,807$9,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,326.36 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche | 57c | 15,310$8,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,736 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Senators | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,550 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Avalanche | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Senators | 40c | 14,582$5,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,745.79 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Avalanche | 57c | 14,306$8,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,174.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Avalanche | 57c | 14,084$8,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,028 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Avalanche | 57c | 12,500$7,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,125 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…9076backed Senators | 42c | 12,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,960 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche | 58c | 11,567$6,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,666.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Senators | 40c | 11,476$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,885.73 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Senators | 45c | 11,045$4,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,083.66 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Senators | 43c | 11,000$4,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,270 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 55c | 10,404$5,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,703.29 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Avalanche | 58c | 9,648$5,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,579.58 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Avalanche | 57c | 9,601$5,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,472.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Avalanche | 39c | 9,079$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496.93 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…754bbacked Avalanche | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Avalanche | 57c | 7,492$4,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,305.3 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Avalanche | 58c | 7,241$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Senators | 43c | 6,967$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971.19 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Senators | 41c | 6,500$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,835 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 49c | 6,037$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.2 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Avalanche | 54c | 5,881$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197.92 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Senators | 44c | 5,777$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.9 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 60c | 5,538$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330.93 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Senators | 43c | 5,500$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Senators | 41c | 5,380$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.86 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Senators | 62c | 5,366$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.56 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators | 37c | 5,307$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.52 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…18e4backed Avalanche | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Senators | 41c | 5,020$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.68 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Avalanche | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Avalanche | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 56c | 4,829$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Avalanche | 57c | 4,820$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.25 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Senators | 43c | 4,800$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.99 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Avalanche | 58c | 4,696$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.38 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Avalanche | 57c | 4,667$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Avalanche | 57c | 4,078$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.39 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Avalanche | 47c | 4,070$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.69 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Senators | 69c | 3,780$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.18 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Senators | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.37 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Avalanche | 57c | 3,333$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.81 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Avalanche | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Senators | 42c | 3,000$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.99 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Senators | 53c | 2,901$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.51 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Avalanche | 60c | 2,749$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Senators | 48c | 2,709$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.14 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Avalanche | 57c | 2,637$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.09 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Avalanche | 57c | 2,590$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.75 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Avalanche | 58c | 2,514$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 45c | 2,461$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.54 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Avalanche | 58c | 2,400$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.97 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 54c | 2,379$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.77 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Senators | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.82 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Avalanche | 44c | 2,297$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.81 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Avalanche | 65c | 2,250$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Senators | 66c | 2,250$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.5 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Avalanche | 45c | 2,185$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.24 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Avalanche | 58c | 2,126$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Senators | 40c | 2,112$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.96 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed Avalanche | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Senators | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.99 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Senators | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.98 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Avalanche | 40c | 1,994$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.34 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Avalanche | 57c | 1,959$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.63 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,889$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.73 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.2 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,800$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,800$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Avalanche | 58c | 1,756$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.3 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Senators | 43c | 1,750$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.5 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche | 38c | 1,748$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.27 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Senators | 43c | 1,747$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.51 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…5170backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,712$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Senators | 54c | 1,629$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.14 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Senators | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Senators | 41c | 1,588$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.8 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Senators | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Senators | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Avalanche | 58c | 1,440$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.91 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Avalanche | 39c | 1,430$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.44 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,421$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.11 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,400$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a82…7547backed Avalanche | 49c | 1,331$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,200$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Senatorsthis page
- Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.