NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32fb385034dcb72c1c730843c6a356633cf4c79cb3ec6caf4865098229047379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5aa…1449backed Under | 47c | 101,960$48,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,370.52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 26,354$12,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,382.45 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 53c | 25,890$13,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,168.3 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 25,265$13,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,859.71 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 53c | 21,882$11,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,284.77 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 16,797$8,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,058.44 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 48c | 13,794$6,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,601.88 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Over | 53c | 10,049$5,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,723.03 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,229.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 7,302$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,578.41 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 52c | 6,765$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.22 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Over | 54c | 6,650$3,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 6,001$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.47 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 5,801$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.47 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Over | 52c | 5,188$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.57 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 53c | 4,340$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.8 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 46c | 3,229$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.25 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 52c | 3,180$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.4 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 47c | 2,037$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.93 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 53c | 2,009$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.4 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 1,464$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.79 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 46c | 1,166$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.36 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Over | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 51c | 1,029$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.41 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 8c | 1,000$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.22 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Over | 25c | 750$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 53c | 545.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.57 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Over | 54c | 543.48$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 8c | 457$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.15 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 446.42$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.19 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 53c | 425.53$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 53c | 324.71$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.45 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 47c | 296.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Over | 53c | 282.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.61 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Under | 47c | 281.75$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.42 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 53c | 280.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Under | 79c | 250$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 27c | 227.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.27 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 54c | 216.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Over | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 46c | 199.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 52c | 192.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 47c | 184.46$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 53c | 183$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 7c | 182$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.26 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 48c | 164.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 10c | 139.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 53c | 121.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 20c | 116.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 112.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…2964backed Under | 52c | 106.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 54c | 94.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 48c | 93.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Over | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 47c | 90.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Under | 48c | 82.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 36c | 72.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 49c | 60.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 54c | 59.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2c…aa16backed Over | 42c | 55.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Over | 55c | 40.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | -18.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 54c | 39.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Under | 47c | 38.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 47c | 32.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Over | 53c | 30.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5this page
- Avalanche vs. SenatorsSenators won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.