NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8d47f920fb001f05fac15a900c2192c15420b5717d919959cf524e4b160507b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Avalanche, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0900…3e1dbacked Avalanche | 38c | 10,700$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,106 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…9b1abacked Senators | 62c | 10,700$6,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,106 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 37c | 8,324$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.95 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Senators | 63c | 8,109$5,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.22 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Avalanche | 37c | 6,767$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.77 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Avalanche | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 63c | 2,160$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.19 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Senators | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.97 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Senators | 63c | 1,555$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.35 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Senators | 62c | 1,400$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Senators | 63c | 1,357$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.09 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Senators | 63c | 1,197$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.14 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Senators | 63c | 1,109$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.33 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Avalanche | 38c | 1,067$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.32 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Avalanche | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche | 37c | 925$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.25 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Senators | 63c | 798.41$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.41 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 63c | 720.06$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.42 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Senators | 62c | 644$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.72 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Senators | 63c | 560$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.2 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Avalanche | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Senators | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Avalanche | 37c | 446.65$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.26 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Senators | 63c | 380.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.95 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Avalanche | 38c | 377.15$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.77 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Senators | 62c | 239.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Senators | 63c | 238.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Avalanche | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Avalanche | 38c | 201.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Avalanche | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Senators | 61c | 193.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Avalanche | 37c | 175$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Avalanche | 38c | 168.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 162 | 37%60 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Avalanche | 38c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche | 34c | 131$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Avalanche | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 36c | 98.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Senators | 62c | 97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Senators | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…57f0backed Avalanche | 37c | 89.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Senators | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Avalanche | 35c | 78.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Senators | 61c | 73.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Avalanche | 38c | 64.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…41dcbacked Avalanche | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Senators | 62c | 57.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Avalanche | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Avalanche | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Avalanche | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Senators | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Senators | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Senators | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Senators | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Senators | 77c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Avalanche | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Avalanche | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2857…3e27backed Avalanche | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Senators | 66c | 32.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Senators | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Senators | 67c | 23.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Senators | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Senators | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Senators | 62c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Avalanche vs. SenatorsSenators won
- Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.