TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Blue Jackets, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$938,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$957,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $938,393 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 638 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Blue Jackets50c360,276$179,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179,240.1967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Blue Jackets48c153,511$73,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,685.116442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens50c84,865$42,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,681.181,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Canadiens49c62,496$30,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,053.542657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Canadiens50c60,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,00014650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Blue Jackets51c60,000$30,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,60048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Canadiens49c57,599$28,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,375.440351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Canadiens50c39,616$19,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,664.0448549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Canadiens51c25,949$13,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,662.4651452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Canadiens51c22,750$11,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,166.6261950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Canadiens53c20,513$10,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.2827448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Canadiens49c20,020$9,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,110.22,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Canadiens50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Blue Jackets48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,599.964650%23 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Canadiens50c19,900$9,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,9506147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Canadiens52c18,303$9,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,785.4436748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jackets51c16,451$8,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,363.171,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens51c15,000$7,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,289.9733151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jackets51c12,815$6,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,491.051,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Blue Jackets51c12,346$6,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,294.3733450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Canadiens51c11,835$5,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,839.3559450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Canadiens49c11,528$5,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,879.4162951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Canadiens50c11,424$5,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7129254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Canadiens51c10,690$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,190.0540356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Canadiens50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00012950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Canadiens51c9,413$4,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,612.373953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canadiens51c9,100$4,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4821,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Canadiens50c8,639$4,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,319.384957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Blue Jackets49c8,600$4,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2144555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Blue Jackets52c8,072$4,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,169.5637754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Canadiens51c8,000$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9404264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens52c8,000$4,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8701,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Canadiens51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,92061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Canadiens50c7,921$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,921.2952050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Canadiens50c7,317$3,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,658.561953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Blue Jackets49c7,084$3,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,47185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens50c7,020$3,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,488.481,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Canadiens50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0004551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32dd…c881backed Canadiens52c5,275$2,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5321675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens51c4,848$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,375.478845.5%40 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa827…dcc2backed Canadiens52c4,681$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,247.284100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Canadiens63c4,590$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blue Jackets49c4,444$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.3389249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Canadiens52c4,200$2,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.9943548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Canadiens51c4,120$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.2386549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Canadiens49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.638544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Blue Jackets48c4,031$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.8724349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Canadiens52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92027850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Canadiens52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Canadiens51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Canadiens52c4,000$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.9926750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Canadiens52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.1531550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Canadiens52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.1528447.9%136 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blue Jackets9c3,654$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9660337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Canadiens70c3,535$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.351,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Canadiens51c3,500$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Blue Jackets47c3,108$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.5783652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Blue Jackets49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Canadiens51c3,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,46058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Canadiens50c2,896$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.9236349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Blue Jackets52c2,851$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.3814650%73 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Blue Jackets49c2,746$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.7641850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Canadiens49c2,050$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.57358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c9…afe7backed Blue Jackets49c2,036$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4920…2b87backed Canadiens51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9801181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.32per pick49cpaid+66.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jackets49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Blue Jackets51c2,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01024847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Canadiens52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96050251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Canadiens50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00021849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Canadiens51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.8720450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Canadiens59c1,986$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.8489636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Blue Jackets49c1,950$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.514954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Canadiens51c1,842$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.841,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Canadiens54c1,813$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.542,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Blue Jackets48c1,741$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.224955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Canadiens51c1,673$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.558543.5%37 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Blue Jackets50c1,634$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81775251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x231a…a82fbacked Canadiens50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8005949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Blue Jackets52c1,560$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.0713856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Canadiens74c1,500$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.2738849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Canadiens50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75021048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4347…84b3backed Canadiens52c1,419$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.123756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Canadiens72c1,418$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.7352172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Canadiens50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7006245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Canadiens51c1,400$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68240049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Canadiens50c1,382$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.7245955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens51c1,372$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.641,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Canadiens52c1,328$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.6125555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Blue Jackets49c1,302$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.0976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Canadiens56c1,251$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.741,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Canadiens52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.856550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d12…0fa7backed Blue Jackets49c1,130$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Canadiens54c1,113$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.768350.6%42 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Canadiens50c1,111$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.586649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d77…31cabacked Blue Jackets49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Canadiens52c1,063$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.315757.9%33 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed Canadiens52c1,058$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.692045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Blue Jackets49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Canadiens51c1,020$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.7942847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Canadiens50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.