NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e9bcc2f3fd9bcfe6098ed9a02c2563e2f01e75f87f284abe7727f09ed9d8986
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,073,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,192,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,073,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 891 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Ducks | 37c | 315,079$117,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197,291.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Oilers | 63c | 184,918$115,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,802.47 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…76adbacked Ducks | 38c | 124,233$47,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,024.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Oilers | 63c | 99,937$62,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,960.4 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Oilers | 62c | 55,500$34,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,409.97 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Ducks | 40c | 48,200$19,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,920 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Oilers | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,399.87 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers | 58c | 18,282$10,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,625.16 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Ducks | 53c | 18,111$9,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,574.35 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Ducks | 63c | 17,462$11,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,437.82 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Oilers | 60c | 14,371$8,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,658.01 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Ducks | 37c | 11,626$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,367.63 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Oilers | 48c | 10,373$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.43 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 36c | 9,999$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.62 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Oilers | 63c | 9,888$6,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,229.28 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Oilers | 54c | 9,158$4,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,914.66 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Ducks | 39c | 7,845$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,746.33 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Oilers | 63c | 6,427$4,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,048.76 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…008abacked Oilers | 64c | 6,097$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Ducks | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.93 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Oilers | 43c | 5,881$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Oilers | 63c | 5,642$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.57 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Oilers | 53c | 5,463$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883.17 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Oilers | 63c | 5,432$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422.3 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ducks | 66c | 5,245$3,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.29 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 63c | 5,162$3,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.95 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Ducks | 38c | 5,106$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.21 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Oilers | 63c | 4,944$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.64 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Oilers | 41c | 4,683$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.13 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Oilers | 63c | 4,656$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Oilers | 44c | 4,617$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.23 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Oilers | 63c | 4,576$2,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,876.02 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Oilers | 27c | 4,375$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.18 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Oilers | 39c | 4,270$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Oilers | 37c | 4,105$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.79 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Oilers | 63c | 4,013$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.57 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Ducks | 37c | 4,008$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.83 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Oilers | 62c | 3,755$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.85 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Oilers | 37c | 3,570$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Oilers | 38c | 3,417$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.16 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Oilers | 62c | 3,189$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.18 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Oilers | 45c | 2,934$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.73 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Oilers | 40c | 2,903$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.14 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Oilers | 45c | 2,870$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oilers | 43c | 2,533$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.18 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Oilers | 63c | 2,516$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.62 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Oilers | 64c | 2,293$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.6 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Oilers | 37c | 2,283$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.89 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Oilers | 37c | 2,263$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Ducks | 38c | 2,249$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.24 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…6bbebacked Oilers | 24c | 2,179$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.76 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Oilers | 62c | 2,100$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.93 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 64c | 2,048$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.14 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Oilers | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Oilers | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Oilers | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Ducks | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.96 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Ducks | 61c | 1,952$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.21 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +27.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…288ebacked Oilers | 37c | 1,925$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Oilers | 54c | 1,903$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.23 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Ducks | 37c | 1,846$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.03 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Ducks | 37c | 1,799$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.3 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers | 62c | 1,750$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.18 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e5…9d7cbacked Oilers | 32c | 1,647$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Oilers | 31c | 1,532$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.03 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Ducks | 37c | 1,531$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.53 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Ducks | 64c | 1,529$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Oilers | 62c | 1,515$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.29 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Ducks | 40c | 1,446$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.6 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…13edbacked Oilers | 26c | 1,401$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.19 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Ducks | 68c | 1,368$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.09 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Ducks | 72c | 1,361$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Ducks | 37c | 1,350$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.47 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks | 37c | 1,280$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.5 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Ducks | 38c | 1,267$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.44 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Ducks | 61c | 1,249$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.72 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Ducks | 37c | 1,230$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.84 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Oilers | 64c | 1,223$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.72 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9294…3ef3backed Ducks | 38c | 1,219$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Ducks | 63c | 1,215$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…f76abacked Ducks | 38c | 1,204$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ducks | 54c | 1,198$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.98 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Oilers | 62c | 1,192$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.16 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Ducks | 66c | 1,191$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.42 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Ducks | 78c | 1,139$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.03 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Oilers | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Oilers | 43c | 1,046$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.2 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Ducks | 75c | 1,011$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.66 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Oilers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Ducks | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Ducks | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Oilers | 40c | 999.96$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Ducks | 37c | 999.94$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.96 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…9eeabacked Oilers | 1c | 998.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Ducks | 40c | 995.41$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.3 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Ducks | 37c | 992$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.96 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…b3f1backed Oilers | 64c | 989.07$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5479…a28bbacked Oilers | 44c | 988.95$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Oilers | 63c | 977.96$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.69 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb073…a89abacked Oilers | 63c | 976.2$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Oilersthis page
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.