NHL · resolved market
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e1c8b0f48a2be6f11db253f625f4c67848577b6adee666a8c9fa7767181a4d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Oilers, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Ducks | 58c | 39,587$22,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,626.36 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Oilers | 42c | 33,782$14,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,188.44 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Ducks | 71c | 3,042$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.18 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Oilers | 29c | 2,843$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.33 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Ducks | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Ducks | 58c | 1,568$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.19 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers | 41c | 1,453$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.88 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Oilers | 42c | 1,448$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.32 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…d274backed Oilers | 29c | 1,364$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.33 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oilers | 30c | 1,239$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.91 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ducks | 69c | 1,185$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.2 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Oilers | 42c | 1,103$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.16 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Oilers | 42c | 1,011$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Oilers | 45c | 1,006$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.05 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Oilers | 41c | 867.29$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.59 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked Oilers | 41c | 822.39$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.18 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 42c | 582.74$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.75 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Oilers | 42c | 574.52$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.3 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Ducks | 69c | 404.61$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.82 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…4ee5backed Oilers | 42c | 403.38$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Oilers | 31c | 396$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fd…4ed8backed Ducks | 59c | 394.06$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Ducks | 58c | 367.93$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.53 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Oilers | 30c | 351$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Oilers | 12c | 347.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Ducks | 59c | 345.24$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.55 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Ducks | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Oilers | 12c | 328.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Oilers | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Oilers | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Oilers | 42c | 255.42$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Oilers | 21c | 240.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Oilers | 30c | 209.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Ducks | 75c | 191.36$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 60c | 179.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…b011backed Oilers | 42c | 172.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Oilers | 42c | 160.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Ducks | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Oilers | 37c | 135.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Ducks | 59c | 132.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f3…9afebacked Oilers | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…7511backed Oilers | 37c | 104.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Oilers | 42c | 100.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Ducks | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Oilers | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Ducks | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Oilers | 42c | 91.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Oilers | 40c | 91.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Ducks | 59c | 84.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…2a69backed Ducks | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Ducks | 66c | 82.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Ducks | 59c | 76.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Ducks | 47c | 75.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Ducks | 59c | 72.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…a450backed Oilers | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…380bbacked Ducks | 51c | 68.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Ducks | 59c | 67.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Ducks | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Ducks | 59c | 57.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Oilers | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Oilers | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Ducks | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Oilers | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…fe36backed Oilers | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ducks | 46c | 41.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3557…4596backed Ducks | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Oilers | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Oilers | 41c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6841…1d29backed Ducks | 59c | 38.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…8fe0backed Oilers | 37c | 37.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b73…27e2backed Oilers | 42c | 35.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Ducks | 59c | 34.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Ducks | 46c | 33.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Ducks | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…f553backed Oilers | 43c | 30.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ducks | 49c | 29.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e9…f199backed Oilers | 37c | 29.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed Oilers | 37c | 28.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed Ducks | 59c | 28.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Ducks | 67c | 28.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…4632backed Oilers | 42c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Ducks | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Ducks | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Ducks | 49c | 24.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Ducks | 59c | 23.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Ducks | 46c | 22.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ducks | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Oilers | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)this page
- Ducks vs. OilersDucks won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.