NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f9ab4ea9cb51b7d2a8cc46e0db2838ebca7339652155558ce93dc538fe3e9b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Over | 36c | 9,290$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,945.68 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 64c | 7,716$4,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,938.17 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 36c | 7,452$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.54 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 64c | 5,753$3,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.02 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…4342backed Under | 7c | 2,012$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Under | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 64c | 1,080$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.01 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 80c | 1,000$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed Under | 21c | 926.16$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 64c | 856.72$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.3 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 64c | 718.63$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.92 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 36c | 688.25$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.48 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 54c | 431.88$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 64c | 396.87$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 18c | 354.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 65c | 327.22$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.3 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Over | 56c | 300.42$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.45 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 28c | 297.08$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.42 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 42c | 211.24$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 44c | 205.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…26f7backed Over | 36c | 200.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 70c | 178.69$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 7c | 160.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a54bbacked Under | 52c | 156.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb7…4a53backed Over | 36c | 149.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 35c | 120.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 39c | 96.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…616ebacked Under | 65c | 84.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 65c | 69.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 67c | 69.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 43c | 56.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5535…d9cbbacked Over | 36c | 56.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 77c | 53.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 35c | 53.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa81f…eed2backed Over | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…f155backed Under | 65c | 49.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Under | 64c | 45.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Under | 64c | 45.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Under | 64c | 45.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 37c | 43.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…517abacked Over | 36c | 42.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 43c | 40.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 39c | 39.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 49c | 36.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Over | 51c | 34.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 36c | 30.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 719 | 52.4%377 W · 342 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Under | 65c | 29.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 36c | 28.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 75c | 24.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac30…b56abacked Under | 65c | 16.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…d437backed Over | 70c | 15.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5this page
- Ducks vs. OilersDucks won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.