NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69b20c5cc0f0b3767ff9d4dd7bf3e7005a5e49f320fca74ee5307dad5bb7b5ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $657,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $734,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $657,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4d…619abacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 208,979$85,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 65,238$24,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,790.57 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Avalanche | 61c | 60,626$36,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,644.14 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Avalanche | 59c | 57,404$33,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,535.84 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche | 59c | 53,191$31,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,886.48 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 32,947$13,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,121.78 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Avalanche | 59c | 30,794$18,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,509.14 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 60c | 25,154$15,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,950.21 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Avalanche | 60c | 25,000$15,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,925 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 60c | 18,523$11,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,501.11 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 13,000$5,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,070 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Avalanche | 59c | 12,400$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,084 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Avalanche | 62c | 12,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 10,921$4,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,296.87 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 10,004$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.52 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Avalanche | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.72 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 8,116$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.24 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Avalanche | 59c | 8,000$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,260 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Avalanche | 61c | 7,800$4,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Avalanche | 62c | 6,575$4,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.35 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 6,500$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche | 76c | 5,725$4,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.6 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Maple Leafs | 30c | 5,443$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.23 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Avalanche | 61c | 5,416$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.46 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Avalanche | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 4,567$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbe…9384backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 4,500$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…d162backed Avalanche | 61c | 4,490$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Avalanche | 59c | 4,312$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.91 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Avalanche | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Maple Leafs | 12c | 3,965$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Avalanche | 62c | 3,946$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.63 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Avalanche | 60c | 3,666$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.86 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 3,650$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Avalanche | 59c | 3,616$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.64 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Avalanche | 61c | 3,300$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 62c | 3,011$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.16 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Avalanche | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.01 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maple Leafs | 18c | 2,877$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.87 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 7c | 2,729$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.79 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Avalanche | 59c | 2,670$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.7 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Avalanche | 61c | 2,541$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.01 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Maple Leafs | 0c | 2,495$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fc…b58abacked Avalanche | 60c | 2,425$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…928bbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 2,400$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Avalanche | 60c | 2,300$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche | 60c | 2,222$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.8 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Avalanche | 61c | 2,201$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.55 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Avalanche | 60c | 2,165$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.28 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Maple Leafs | 3c | 2,153$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Maple Leafs | 29c | 2,115$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.6 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…3d6abacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 2,100$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maple Leafs | 13c | 2,013$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.33 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.84 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Avalanche | 62c | 1,995$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.72 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,875$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,774$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.71 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Avalanche | 61c | 1,700$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Avalanche | 63c | 1,583$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.67 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Avalanche | 62c | 1,550$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 15c | 1,491$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.21 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 15c | 1,449$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.53 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Maple Leafs | 2c | 1,250$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Avalanche | 73c | 1,243$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.31 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Avalanche | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Maple Leafs | 14c | 1,170$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.71 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,147$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.96 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Avalanche | 62c | 1,131$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.76 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Avalanche | 59c | 1,100$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.46 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Maple Leafs | 14c | 1,098$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.26 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x244f…6ffbbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,075$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 76c | 1,062$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 1,050$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Maple Leafs | 10c | 1,023$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Maple Leafs | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Avalanche | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Avalanche | 60c | 991$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.4 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Avalanche | 61c | 987$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.93 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Maple Leafs | 12c | 958.33$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Avalanche | 61c | 931.15$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked Avalanche | 61c | 917.75$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 875$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 857.3$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.77 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Avalanche | 61c | 821.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.34 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…c78bbacked Avalanche | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Avalanche | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Avalanche | 60c | 809$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.6 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Avalanche | 60c | 800$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Avalanche | 61c | 796.72$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.72 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fb…f0d5backed Maple Leafs | 13c | 784.52$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 774.13$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.44 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bc94backed Maple Leafs | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 763.16$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.37 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche | 61c | 750$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.