NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf631d4fd1828c6429f279e609c64267d6b3b313c6d255d68a6bf1cd2d6c67271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc2b…0a52backed Over | 52c | 24,000$12,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,569 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 49c | 11,000$5,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,626.63 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d9…878fbacked Under | 47c | 8,900$4,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,716.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…67a7backed Under | 48c | 8,800$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,576 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 6,789$3,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,448.46 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 6,630$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.66 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…fb7ebacked Under | 48c | 6,300$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…1449backed Under | 48c | 4,647$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.03 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 51c | 4,487$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.5 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 3,787$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.06 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2f…fd04backed Under | 50c | 2,990$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 49c | 2,650$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 52c | 2,535$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.2 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 48c | 2,397$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.57 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.11 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 1,755$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.2 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 51c | 1,753$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 50c | 1,744$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.28 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7c…b465backed Under | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over | 53c | 1,130$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 58c | 1,017$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.94 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 53c | 1,001$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.54 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 980.17$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.17 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 43c | 978.99$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.17 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 928.94$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.47 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4546…a2c2backed Under | 50c | 920$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 50c | 897$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.56 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 48c | 871.5$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.18 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 51c | 784$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 757.08$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 709$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.68 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 51c | 650.22$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.61 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 48c | 625.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.52 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Over | 53c | 550$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 53c | 446$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.51 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 47c | 443.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.31 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 443.9$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.53 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 73c | 409.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 53c | 375.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a42…34d8backed Under | 49c | 281.57$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 47c | 262.24$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.99 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 52c | 249.48$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.86 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 47c | 220.84$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Over | 51c | 217$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 51c | 208.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.11 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…68dfbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 51c | 189.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 160.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 152$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 57c | 116$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 114.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Under | 48c | 103.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…3ef6backed Under | 71c | 87.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 50c | 77.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…b5cbbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 49c | 70.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 53c | 69.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 58c | 67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 64.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Over | 52c | 57.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 53c | 56.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Over | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 53c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Under | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…2157backed Over | 51c | 44.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Under | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Under | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Under | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 53c | 37.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 35.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 50c | 33.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Over | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 58c | 30.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 52c | 29.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 53c | 26.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5this page
- Avalanche vs. Maple LeafsAvalanche won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.