Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0de95c4c718aa5dd99bdb8eda2846e82435894648e891b1fab154eca29509ba5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,549,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,781,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,549,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 63c | 158,652$99,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,950.59 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…619abacked Yes | 51c | 123,650$63,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,070.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 37c | 100,000$37,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,000 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed No | 38c | 94,476$36,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,130.15 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 37c | 81,332$30,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,041.91 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 45c | 72,611$32,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,744.64 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 62c | 66,814$41,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,424.62 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 38c | 63,365$23,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,386.18 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Yes | 62c | 56,797$35,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,214 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 49c | 43,500$21,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,184.92 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 36c | 41,390$14,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,489.8 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 35,795$18,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,779.67 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 34,433$18,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,481.51 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 36c | 30,494$10,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,510.7 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 37c | 26,290$9,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,517.7 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 63c | 22,222$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.86 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed No | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,199.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 63c | 17,131$10,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,792.58 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 49c | 16,739$8,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,565.52 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 41c | 14,823$6,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,721.77 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes | 62c | 13,509$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 61c | 11,967$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.7 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed No | 39c | 10,027$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,141.09 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…165dbacked No | 79c | 10,000$7,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 10c | 9,650$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 61c | 9,092$5,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,545.95 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed No | 39c | 8,960$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,465.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…c21fbacked No | 38c | 8,743$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,420.79 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…7763backed Yes | 29c | 8,139$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.28 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked No | 39c | 8,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,880 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 49c | 7,400$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,773.99 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 62c | 7,302$4,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,546.77 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 62c | 6,000$3,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.62 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…a861backed Yes | 63c | 5,880$3,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,704.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd11…e918backed Yes | 13c | 5,350$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 59c | 5,157$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.33 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 5,129$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.92 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 34c | 5,128$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,402.38 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed No | 33c | 5,005$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.55 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 62c | 5,004$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed5…753dbacked Yes | 61c | 4,841$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.89 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Yes | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 4,727$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.44 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes | 63c | 4,665$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 39c | 4,614$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.46 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Yes | 62c | 4,503$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.83 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 31c | 4,500$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 25c | 4,227$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.43 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…c8eebacked Yes | 62c | 4,037$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 50c | 3,985$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.59 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed No | 37c | 3,924$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 29cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed No | 40c | 3,800$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.95 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 66c | 3,765$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.04 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 62c | 3,760$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.29 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 3,698$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.99 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd74e…de26backed Yes | 64c | 3,650$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…956ebacked Yes | 61c | 3,600$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc8…ddc2backed Yes | 60c | 3,329$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 41c | 3,295$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.77 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 63c | 3,200$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…d7a8backed Yes | 52c | 3,200$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…a5cbbacked Yes | 55c | 3,130$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 51c | 3,005$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.58 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Yes | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed No | 38c | 2,904$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.67 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 39c | 2,800$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 54c | 2,737$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 69c | 2,687$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.4 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed No | 37c | 2,543$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Yes | 65c | 2,478$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.74 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 6c | 2,477$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…284cbacked No | 37c | 2,452$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 63c | 2,429$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,409$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.37 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 38c | 2,400$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.31 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 46c | 2,329$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.24 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 17c | 2,314$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.46 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 53c | 2,312$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.97 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 3c | 2,311$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked No | 37c | 2,300$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…e678backed Yes | 62c | 2,242$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 63c | 2,238$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 61c | 2,083$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.69 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked No | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.02 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.95 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e1…b30fbacked No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 14c | 1,953$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.62 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 64c | 1,948$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.72 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 62c | 1,919$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.68 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 63c | 1,905$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.