Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b1d6785a8fb42897dd998b6b840f1614cee52b0bbc7edf491936187c273b7ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 31,295$23,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,367.28 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 15,953$11,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,194.01 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 22c | 11,113$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.77 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 22c | 9,091$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 8,856$6,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.72 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 15c | 6,775$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 70c | 6,013$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.76 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 17c | 5,835$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 29cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed5…753dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,517$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 5,383$4,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.01 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 78c | 4,347$3,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.41 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Yes | 22c | 4,318$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.92 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 68c | 2,640$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.78 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Yes | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 22c | 2,345$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.33 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 22c | 2,136$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…92e7backed Yes | 23c | 2,044$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.11 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 22c | 2,022$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.68 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.64 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…9ef0backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…a5cbbacked No | 67c | 1,924$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 78c | 1,876$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.71 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 1,848$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.73 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 29c | 1,735$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 25c | 1,615$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 43c | 1,555$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.37 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 23c | 1,522$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 22c | 1,478$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.78 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 33c | 1,326$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.85 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 35c | 1,301$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…ae93backed Yes | 52c | 1,252$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…e6febacked Yes | 8c | 1,249$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 22c | 1,162$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.83 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,135$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.61 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cd…2e45backed Yes | 22c | 1,092$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb18…d006backed Yes | 24c | 1,088$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…dbfebacked Yes | 24c | 1,033$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,009$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 78c | 1,006$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.46 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 22c | 999.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 955.56$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.12 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 26c | 934.2$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.19 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 23c | 900$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c986backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 65c | 844.23$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.75 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3118…05f0backed No | 72c | 785$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 26c | 767.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 19c | 689.76$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.05 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cf…2284backed Yes | 26c | 678.65$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 20c | 654.55$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked No | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…2dfabacked Yes | 23c | 572$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Yes | 18c | 548.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 78c | 539$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.58 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 67c | 537.14$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.69 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 507.07$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 26c | 482.71$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…e4e3backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e4…3342backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 77c | 449.13$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…6190backed Yes | 23c | 443.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 21c | 442.21$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes | 22c | 423.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…284cbacked Yes | 66c | 422.73$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 9c | 421.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Yes | 27c | 403.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d5…dc06backed Yes | 22c | 400$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee69…0c70backed Yes | 13c | 390$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 56c | 383.15$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.44 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…0accbacked Yes | 39c | 375.2$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked No | 79c | 351.52$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fd…4b26backed Yes | 29c | 345$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 18c | 339.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 67c | 325$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed No | 80c | 317.66$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…4532backed Yes | 22c | 313.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…cd31backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 23c | 305.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb0…fafcbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…ddc2backed Yes | 7c | 302.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?No won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.