Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ef7a8e8b719c9b2f626dcf11510f590055a015161021945dc8b21c391323aff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 40c | 13,440$5,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,063.98 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 11,197$5,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,240.84 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 64c | 10,500$6,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,719.18 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 8,356$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,247.6 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 61c | 7,656$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.12 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 12c | 6,386$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.27 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 38c | 4,844$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.27 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 3,038$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 63c | 2,796$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.97 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed No | 40c | 2,433$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 78c | 2,316$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.52 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Yes | 5c | 2,240$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 38c | 2,001$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.92 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed No | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +197%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed No | 47c | 1,999$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.47 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 58cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 65c | 1,500$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.93 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 58c | 1,460$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.82 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…4564backed No | 36c | 1,429$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 62c | 1,353$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.49 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 63c | 1,266$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.78 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 39c | 1,166$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.59 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,125$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.52 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 25c | 1,025$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 45c | 1,019$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.25 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 40c | 1,000$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…a9edbacked Yes | 11c | 899.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Yes | 65c | 849.73$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…feb6backed Yes | 65c | 798.85$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 64c | 750$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 38c | 744.03$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.73 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 62c | 736.42$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.84 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 40c | 665.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…cfbebacked Yes | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 65c | 584.83$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 35c | 578$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 63c | 540$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 61c | 499.97$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed2…8958backed No | 55c | 479.77$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f82…d715backed Yes | 63c | 435.3$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 19c | 400$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…84d1backed Yes | 60c | 399.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Yes | 55c | 328$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…0e83backed Yes | 62c | 326.85$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad6…666fbacked Yes | 63c | 326$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Yes | 37c | 325.61$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 63c | 319.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1d…9fe1backed No | 39c | 310$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 61c | 300$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Yes | 68c | 294.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 38c | 282.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.44 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked No | 35c | 280.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.13 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 60c | 275$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 272$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 38c | 264.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.13 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 261.19$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 34c | 247.14$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.11 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 51c | 245.1$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.37 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Yes | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 49c | 227.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 36c | 221.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 46c | 212.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.87 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 64c | 179.77$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 62c | 169.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…7cb3backed Yes | 49c | 169.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 60c | 167.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2e…3c65backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
- Will RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.