Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82dc6b57bcd5fef671886d2e159744aeafe6b6be2885f8e03708bb5b4221b4c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 67c | 11,852$7,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.55 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 10,443$5,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,338.91 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 6,518$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.43 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 6,447$4,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830.72 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 39c | 5,158$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.89 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed No | 41c | 4,700$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.64 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 48c | 3,697$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.07 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 16c | 2,869$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 2,591$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.11 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Yes | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 56c | 2,143$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 63c | 1,965$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked No | 49c | 1,445$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 37c | 1,443$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.52 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 79c | 1,148$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked No | 46c | 1,057$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 59c | 969$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.71 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…3f2fbacked Yes | 35c | 955.16$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 26cpaid | +246.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 12c | 941.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed2…8958backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 44c | 850$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 17c | 700$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.17 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 17c | 602.76$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.29 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed No | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed No | 36c | 519.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 43c | 469.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed No | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 60c | 418.17$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.74 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 37c | 417$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.37 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…0afabacked Yes | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed No | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…b8ffbacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…e5a9backed Yes | 21c | 334.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +195.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed No | 45c | 330$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 33c | 311.56$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 45c | 300.65$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.99 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 39c | 289.6$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.99 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 35c | 270$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed No | 42c | 264.4$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…ec6bbacked No | 45c | 255.4$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 16c | 251.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.1 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 79c | 249.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 226.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.06 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 21c | 209.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.52 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked No | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x062c…9f53backed Yes | 11c | 187.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +793.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 55c | 135.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…3fc7backed Yes | 22c | 135$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +152.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 129.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.59 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 50c | 122.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 17c | 110.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 76c | 105$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 56c | 105$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 17c | 87.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…9636backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 17c | 78.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 47c | 78.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 24c | 75.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 49c | 68.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 16c | 63.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 63c | 61.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9932…7d86backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 17c | 59.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 55c | 52.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 36c | 49.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed No | 43c | 46.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…d2fcbacked No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9d9dbacked No | 32c | 46.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed No | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 56c | 44.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 42c | 43.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 48c | 40.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e466backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…336bbacked No | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Yes | 48c | 30.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…862ebacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 62cpaid | +49%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked No | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 56c | 25.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed No | 49c | 22.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?No won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.