TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa0dd…1b9b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
262
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 62 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT6934.8%24 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+383.9%+$238
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+279.7%+$221
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,573Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,572.73
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$802.05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$823.08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,033.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,684Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,684.35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,222.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+126.6%+$89.39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,617Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$2,196.52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,864Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$3,193.68
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.87
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.83
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT4052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Will Sweden be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.8
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$484
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$26.6
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,000
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.7
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+49%+$90.5
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.7
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$43.2
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Bangladesh win on 2026-06-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.6
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.99
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$631.32
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,386Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$713.98
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.31
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.24
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.96
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.79
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.96
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.7
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$648.59
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,463Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$4,046.96
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.72
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.2
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+126.2%+$53.1
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$96.49
Will Meta (META) close above $580 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+46.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estonia record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Lithuania record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.73
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Brazil record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+614.3%+$85.99
Will Slovenia record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.25
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+376.2%+$47.4
Will Quentin Fillon Maillet (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 10km Sprint at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$71.58
Will Einer Hedegart (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$81.26
Will Johannes Klaebo (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+286.9%+$48.94
Will Ragne Wiklund (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 5000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$76.47
Will Jonna Sundling (SWE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Women's Cross Country Sprint Classic at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Birk Ruud (NOR) win the gold medal for Ski Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+45.8%+$95.83
Will Sander Eitrem (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 5000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+87.7%+$21.53
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Mixed Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Mixed Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$47.55
Will Johannes Klaebo (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's Skiathlon at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+67.1%+$98.93
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.66
Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.02
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$21.2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$34.2
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$33.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will West Ham vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Everton win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+130.4%+$52.16
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,104.8%+$315.45
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$93.14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.76
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.1
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$27.84
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.4
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.86
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$116.75
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.39
All 15 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1492.9%13 W · 1 L+4.3wins+0.31per pick62cpaid+49%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.4
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$44
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+48.2%+$128.67
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$8
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+42.2%+$56.4
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$26.4
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$77.54
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.99
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.07
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.05
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will Viking FK win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.6
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.02
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$23.27
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.25
Will SK Brann win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$243.66
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.4
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$4,940
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$828
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+502.4%+$66.72
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$57.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.