TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,240 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No49c60,000$29,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,409.9111445.6%52 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Yes51c33,943$17,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,632.051947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc933…5366backed Yes53c30,000$15,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,194.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed No49c9,000$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4103119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c7,685$3,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,737.143,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No66c6,965$4,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,607.6119153.9%103 W · 88 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No50c6,955$3,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,482.567648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8334…3fb2backed No48c6,450$3,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,096.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f14…9dcabacked Yes52c6,449$3,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,095.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes53c3,155$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.8933945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes52c3,000$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.232737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.993339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+84.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes50c2,566$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.666451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No47c2,421$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.773141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes50c2,120$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.775347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked No47c1,589$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No47c1,529$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.7423046.5%107 W · 123 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed No48c1,468$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.63966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes51c1,363$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.829552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes53c1,157$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.843438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes52c1,148$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.0838055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked No48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004522.2%10 W · 35 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x15bc…5023backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6102420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-56.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5288…0439backed No48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.544753.2%25 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes50c951.72$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.7751136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No52c926$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.5210463.5%66 W · 38 L+9.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No56c886.17$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.458630.2%26 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed No47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Yes37c606.3$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.381838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+47.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4c13…ee33backed Yes25c600$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.47per pick39cpaid+145.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes53c530.05$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9210057%57 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes44c519.55$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.532,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes50c492.91$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3819347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.71163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes52c452$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.213644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes34c440$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.322540%10 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1724…fc81backed Yes52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No47c380.25$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7223745.6%108 W · 129 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes52c348.76$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.49854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f3b…be48backed No47c335.96$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.91030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-53.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No51c323.53$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4210347.6%49 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes54c305.56$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.566344.4%28 W · 35 L+9.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed No47c300$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Yes53c290.47$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.21020%2 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-64.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xfa43…3215backed Yes52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.46742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes54c270.23$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes52c269.23$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.231070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed No48c249.06$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.06825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.775100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+88.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes52c213.46$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed No47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1334…3c35backed Yes54c210.57$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925044%22 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…67bebacked No5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked No48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981428.6%4 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No46c199.45$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.754228.6%12 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ea…6254backed Yes51c196.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb93…63d9backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314231%13 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23ea…3470backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6819943.2%86 W · 113 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67dd…6fcebacked Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes42c163.95$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes52c161.54$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.541492.9%13 W · 1 L+4.3wins+0.31per pick62cpaid+49%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No47c150.92$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.544942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked No48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes53c147.55$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3510642.5%45 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes45c146.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.846546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes42c142.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.861163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+33%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeac5…7960backed Yes52c142.31$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.311050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+63.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf2…3ef7backed Yes53c130.19$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.19666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes51c130$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.24535.6%16 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a9c…45e0backed No47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes53c122.64$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.642867.9%19 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+40.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes42c121.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.433351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes54c120.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.51070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6328…1bf3backed Yes34c120.03$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+46.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes65c115.52$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.149856.1%55 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No46c113.5$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2114846.6%69 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.115444.4%24 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.114339.5%17 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x154c…658ebacked No41c106.81$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.89742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x834b…1fa7backed No48c102$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.96540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes51c101.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9611952.1%62 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe172…274ebacked No48c101.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.89728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x646c…3210backed No48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482450%12 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec15…37a7backed Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+105.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.