TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$490,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$433,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,191 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x993c…6787backed Yes8c45,046$3,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,684.7711921%25 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25db…28debacked Yes7c35,608$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.079317.2%16 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a35…4f28backed Yes11c34,690$3,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,785.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c13,429$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.22221.4%3 W · 219 L-0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid+28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes1c11,030$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.35580%0 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b2a…160dbacked Yes1c10,203$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.01180%0 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes10c10,000$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.385115.7%8 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-11.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72a0…c059backed Yes7c8,334$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.836346%29 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes10c8,102$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.13528.6%10 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576f…819abacked Yes2c7,127$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.74454.4%2 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes1c5,186$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.973718.9%7 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ef…812cbacked Yes10c4,958$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.085143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500254%1 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-72.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73b9…47c4backed Yes12c3,596$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.883016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda63…a0b1backed Yes1c3,125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-74.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a5c…321dbacked Yes5c2,914$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.811250%6 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+70.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaf23…aa95backed Yes9c2,581$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.694131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes8c2,311$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.451246.5%8 W · 116 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes13c2,297$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4610930.3%33 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cad…eed3backed Yes3c2,171$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe54d…fea1backed Yes1c2,128$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6460%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e7…ba4cbacked Yes6c2,090$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.83130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c6…d759backed Yes16c2,045$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.19128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x918e…3271backed Yes10c2,011$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16034534.5%119 W · 226 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5011…220ebacked Yes4c1,726$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.353036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc7…2385backed Yes10c1,709$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.92810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502814.3%4 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f49…7ce8backed Yes8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes8c1,400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1163718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-52%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes3c1,344$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.044420.5%9 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes7c1,300$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8488.3%4 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes9c1,294$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.16979.3%9 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea29…3600backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+72%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6dc…12ecbacked Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707234.7%25 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x63f1…6272backed Yes9c999.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9511628.4%33 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705810.3%6 W · 52 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-56.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes6c999.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607711.7%9 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-53.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes1c989.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.220624.8%51 W · 155 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes6c950$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.36616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92c2…881bbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes2c896$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7314031.4%44 W · 96 L-0.6wins0.00per pick32cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed Yes13c883.24$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8432023.4%75 W · 245 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa569…89fabacked Yes8c875$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes6c853.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.581,27724.3%310 W · 967 L-58.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c801.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.61,0309.2%95 W · 935 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-55.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd36b…3d32backed Yes6c749.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b62…5203backed Yes15c737.5$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes11c735$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8514429.9%43 W · 101 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes11c668.55$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.54205%1 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick17cpaid-87.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x099c…3685backed Yes4c501.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e3…9696backed Yes2c479.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-82.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3096…58a3backed Yes10c472$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.986526.2%17 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f5…8634backed Yes12c459.39$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Yes11c417.41$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.923348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes8c413.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9230839.6%122 W · 186 L-17.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeee8…7e06backed Yes11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes9c399.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes8c397.74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.164717%8 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310938.5%42 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-36.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8aa6…6316backed Yes12c292.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.06812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2e…27ebbacked Yes10c269.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8550%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b67…b814backed Yes11c264.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.042025%5 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-59.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x961a…50c7backed Yes17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick28cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97cb…c910backed Yes11c218.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce0c…2945backed Yes14c215.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-57.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x196e…1b86backed Yes9c211.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28180%0 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d8…3ed3backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206934.8%24 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0218…41aebacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaea…8a7cbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes8c168$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441987.1%14 W · 184 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-69.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8eb…8473backed Yes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52015%3 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Yes9c141$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.756933.3%23 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x793d…8720backed Yes11c140$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22817.9%5 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-73.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed Yes8c128.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.367950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes10c116.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6318540.5%75 W · 110 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb358…eb11backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11358.6%3 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-81.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b69…42cfbacked Yes14c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c70…a5e7backed Yes15c99.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.