Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65187bf18ba3a88bd131b1537c069526fd0f3eb3f0b34e0f2f256a095e021afa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $233,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 4c | 44,918$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.07 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 5c | 10,812$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.36 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a35…4f28backed Yes | 10c | 9,552$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 8,881$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Yes | 4c | 8,432$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.21 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 7,352$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.23 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 5c | 6,292$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.8 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…819abacked Yes | 2c | 6,142$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…a286backed Yes | 4c | 6,000$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.92 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…ba4cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,419$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,842$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…d759backed Yes | 1c | 3,962$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…a0b1backed Yes | 1c | 3,543$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 3c | 3,400$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…a02ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 6c | 3,247$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 21cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…34f6backed Yes | 5c | 3,105$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed Yes | 5c | 3,095$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…8720backed Yes | 7c | 2,720$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 5c | 2,340$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…b61ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,647$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,600$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,598$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x918e…3271backed Yes | 8c | 1,523$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,411$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,400$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 5c | 1,301$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,251$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…7c5cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,122$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…152ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,090$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 1c | 1,003$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 4c | 999.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8411…c309backed Yes | 3c | 980.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 3c | 801.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…7e2bbacked Yes | 3c | 694.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 7c | 650$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…89fabacked Yes | 4c | 624.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…d073backed Yes | 4c | 574.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 8c | 500.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 7c | 368.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2a…160dbacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…2945backed Yes | 9c | 343.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…eb11backed Yes | 6c | 299.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1881…edd9backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8c…5848backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ca…dcfbbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.