TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$199,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x25db…28debacked Yes12c13,601$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.139317.2%16 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed Yes15c10,960$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.3111921%25 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes22c7,486$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.4310930.3%33 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.993528.6%10 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac3e…8150backed Yes11c3,492$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.254447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc18b…3917backed Yes1c3,471$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9210126.7%27 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a5c…321dbacked Yes10c3,440$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.071250%6 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+70.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed Yes11c3,381$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.15018%9 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fea1backed Yes13c3,333$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.2960%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes1c3,237$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.483718.9%7 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes18c2,734$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.04254%1 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-72.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes17c2,500$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.995115.7%8 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-11.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b2a…160dbacked Yes1c1,989$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25180%0 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x576f…819abacked Yes2c1,934$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.81454.4%2 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7152…faacbacked Yes1c1,800$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.280%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc6…7306backed Yes1c1,719$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.033713.5%5 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Yes17c1,664$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.478650%43 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f49…7ce8backed Yes13c1,618$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x662d…7582backed No78c1,213$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.463100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes7c1,205$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4927322%60 W · 213 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd83c…34f6backed Yes15c1,125$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.62250%11 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ef…5523backed Yes24c1,100$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-54%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.95810.3%6 W · 52 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-56.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes14c854.85$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.121,27724.3%310 W · 967 L-58.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes8c763.67$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.37488.3%4 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes7c754.28$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.81246.5%8 W · 116 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c751.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.781,0309.2%95 W · 935 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-55.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73b9…47c4backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9898…0a7dbacked Yes21c699.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442650%13 W · 13 L+6.8wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+233%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa6dc…12ecbacked Yes13c600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787234.7%25 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes13c596$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4811133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2e7…ba4cbacked Yes12c588.9$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.31130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb225…d4a1backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid+84.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97cb…c910backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a90…68fbbacked No79c572.61$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.251181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes19c563.8$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1235334%120 W · 233 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e73…6697backed Yes26c550$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1446033.3%20 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503619.4%7 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-65.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd36b…3d32backed Yes11c499.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4935…dfdabacked Yes12c490.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.851526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c4…f293backed Yes15c487.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d8…3ed3backed Yes10c442.49$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09fd…b61ebacked Yes23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes6c390$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.86529.2%19 W · 46 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes14c342$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.887832.1%25 W · 53 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7994…c512backed Yes6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184634.8%16 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Yes14c292.05$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.893348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c6…d759backed Yes24c290$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.13128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed Yes14c287.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.21728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed Yes15c281.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.232023.4%75 W · 245 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…e8a9backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503116.1%5 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62e3…9696backed Yes6c268.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.19812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-82.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…b332backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8207…c570backed Yes10c220$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22825%2 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes9c214.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.684717%8 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…6316backed Yes20c214.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.94812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc662…0927backed No78c173.8$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.241050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b58…a73fbacked No76c153.02$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.721369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3096…58a3backed Yes15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.56526.2%17 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2613131.3%41 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked No79c150$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.54240.5%17 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc2e…27ebbacked Yes14c145.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2150%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc271…1708backed No76c131.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.973764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce0c…2945backed Yes23c127.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-57.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x00aa…c1fcbacked No79c126.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.681172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38bf…28e2backed Yes12c124.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.392330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked No79c105.88$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.233148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x478c…d24ebacked Yes18c103.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Yes19c103$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.119544.2%42 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31e6…0f21backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3986…71fcbacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-63.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes23c94.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7839034.4%134 W · 256 L-33.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No80c83.91$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7814429.9%43 W · 101 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3de2…d073backed Yes16c79.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.941040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed Yes16c74.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.877950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No79c70.92$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.898643%37 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes16c68.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123323.6%55 W · 178 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbe…85a3backed Yes21c67.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ca…dcfbbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick30cpaid+9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50d3…bad4backed No76c59.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.292045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06db…5244backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd482…355dbacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c6…1f92backed Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-65.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2c…d598backed Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.570%0 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae3d…d42dbacked Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-65.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1e25…5af9backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb866…f370backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aae…cd88backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0032…731abacked Yes46c49.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x698a…3bedbacked No54c44.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.471546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f5…8634backed No78c40.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc109…450bbacked No79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.32352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b22…3a92backed No79c29.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.252152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x637e…9972backed No79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63d8…fd86backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.