Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d1c15c3c9a75382ade580fe59be9b6b17074c0d36847c3740b1b642d48f9ea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $312,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 67c | 68,884$46,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,875.98 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 32c | 39,005$12,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,526.76 | 942 | 40.2%379 W · 563 L | -69.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 35c | 13,712$4,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,730.81 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 76c | 13,683$10,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.27 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 23c | 11,502$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.74 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…47c4backed No | 14c | 10,575$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.28 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…0111backed No | 19c | 7,382$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 23c | 6,740$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.96 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1708backed No | 35c | 4,605$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd640…480cbacked No | 34c | 4,449$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.81 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes | 70c | 3,813$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.88 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…819abacked No | 9c | 3,640$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.8 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 23c | 3,221$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.44 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 9c | 3,161$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.89 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked No | 37c | 3,151$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.57 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…aa53backed Yes | 76c | 2,587$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.87 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed No | 26c | 2,217$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 37c | 2,004$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.97 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked No | 26c | 1,914$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.15 | 308 | 39%120 W · 188 L | +20.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f8…325fbacked No | 27c | 1,794$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 32c | 1,615$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.74 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 30c | 1,594$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.39 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 1c | 1,570$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 39c | 1,565$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.65 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed Yes | 69c | 1,540$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.53 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 28c | 1,500$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.36 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…9a45backed No | 1c | 1,470$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf678…a255backed No | 30c | 1,414$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc9…ec4bbacked No | 15c | 1,379$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed No | 17c | 1,324$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.78 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…907bbacked No | 26c | 1,315$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…c90bbacked No | 12c | 1,268$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.09 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…e8a9backed No | 14c | 1,161$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.3 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 3c | 1,074$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed No | 34c | 1,065$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…0a7dbacked No | 39c | 1,033$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.41 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +233%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed No | 34c | 1,005$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.76 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 30c | 1,000$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 72c | 999.97$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.99 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked No | 8c | 904.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70b…de8abacked Yes | 78c | 892.48$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a5…ed7fbacked No | 19c | 889.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…b498backed No | 19c | 878.82$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 18c | 814.2$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.56 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed Yes | 75c | 807.12$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.78 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked No | 28c | 801$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.87 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked No | 19c | 799.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked No | 35c | 799.56$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.87 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c12…9a6bbacked No | 29c | 792.15$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.9 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd36b…3d32backed No | 33c | 746$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.14 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 15c | 742.59$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 58c | 726.7$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.89 | 1,286 | 24.2%311 W · 975 L | -58.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed No | 9c | 700$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed Yes | 76c | 690.35$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.34 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef06…63fabacked Yes | 71c | 672.35$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 75c | 600$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 74c | 593$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.82 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 27c | 571.61$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked No | 33c | 550.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…4f1dbacked No | 21c | 546$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 36c | 405.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.18 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…dfdabacked No | 28c | 383.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.51 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…90f3backed No | 29c | 382.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 27c | 374.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…ba4cbacked No | 11c | 366.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a42dbacked Yes | 75c | 358.63$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 71c | 351.03$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…c771backed No | 19c | 346.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 70c | 300$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec09…1db9backed No | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed No | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5786…bb03backed No | 40c | 268.09$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 32c | 265$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f4…7a5bbacked Yes | 67c | 253.71$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 36c | 251.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…0c1abacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.9wins | -0.41per pick | 49cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 26c | 249.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed No | 33c | 244.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…1b3dbacked No | 35c | 228$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e7…245dbacked No | 43c | 220.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa659…235dbacked No | 31c | 219.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1927…92afbacked No | 31c | 205.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…052abacked No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5947…c7dcbacked No | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…b74abacked Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…6cebbacked Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…7325backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…6d52backed No | 35c | 199.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 28c | 193$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 72c | 190.08$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x376e…d654backed Yes | 57c | 182.13$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…bc25backed No | 19c | 174.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed Yes | 68c | 170.49$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 77c | 159.48$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…7bb2backed No | 25c | 157.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ef…f738backed No | 27c | 154.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.