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Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$312,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$327,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes67c68,884$46,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,875.9810930.3%33 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No32c39,005$12,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,526.7694240.2%379 W · 563 L-69.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked No35c13,712$4,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,730.819745.4%44 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72a0…c059backed Yes76c13,683$10,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,351.276346%29 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed No23c11,502$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.7411921%25 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73b9…47c4backed No14c10,575$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.283016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ba0…0111backed No19c7,382$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked No23c6,740$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.962751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc271…1708backed No35c4,605$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6003764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd640…480cbacked No34c4,449$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.813941%16 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes70c3,813$2,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.887847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x576f…819abacked No9c3,640$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.8454.4%2 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked No23c3,221$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.447525.3%19 W · 56 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-57.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No9c3,161$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.8927322%60 W · 213 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40f…c3bcbacked No37c3,151$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.5711836.4%43 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ed…aa53backed Yes76c2,587$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.873158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd5a…f7a4backed No26c2,217$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.21833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c2d…f8aebacked No37c2,004$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.977041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f3…844ebacked No26c1,914$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.1530839%120 W · 188 L+20.5wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0f8…325fbacked No27c1,794$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No32c1,615$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.7430839.6%122 W · 186 L-17.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No30c1,594$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.393619.4%7 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-65.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed No1c1,570$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5711212.5%14 W · 98 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No39c1,565$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.653348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4867…a6f8backed Yes69c1,540$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.539858.2%57 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63f1…6272backed No28c1,500$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.3611628.4%33 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf35…9a45backed No1c1,470$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.72119%4 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf678…a255backed No30c1,414$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fc9…ec4bbacked No15c1,379$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2071921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a86…f8e8backed No17c1,324$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.785525.5%14 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-54%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x36da…907bbacked No26c1,315$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef5…c90bbacked No12c1,268$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.092842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2a…e8a9backed No14c1,161$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.33116.1%5 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No3c1,074$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9714031.4%44 W · 96 L-0.6wins0.00per pick32cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x100a…0919backed No34c1,065$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.12147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9898…0a7dbacked No39c1,033$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.412650%13 W · 13 L+6.8wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+233%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf92c…87f7backed No34c1,005$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.762138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked No30c1,000$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2955115.7%8 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-11.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked Yes72c999.97$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9914849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dcf…950ebacked No8c904.49$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.89488.3%4 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf70b…de8abacked Yes78c892.48$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.48771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03a5…ed7fbacked No19c889.99$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bb3…b498backed No19c878.82$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No18c814.2$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5624126.1%63 W · 178 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5675…f6a6backed Yes75c807.12$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.781560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked No28c801$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.873141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dd…1b9bbacked No19c799.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506934.8%24 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6dc…12ecbacked No35c799.56$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.877234.7%25 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c12…9a6bbacked No29c792.15$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.94020%8 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd36b…3d32backed No33c746$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.141827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed No15c742.59$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8123323.6%55 W · 178 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes58c726.7$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.891,28624.2%311 W · 975 L-58.4wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed No9c700$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601246.5%8 W · 116 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3825…04e8backed Yes76c690.35$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.344245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef06…63fabacked Yes71c672.35$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No22c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1329745.4%44 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes75c600$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes74c593$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8211133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No27c571.61$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6430718.6%57 W · 250 L-17.8wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38c7…806ebacked No33c550.99$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.261010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-84.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f82…4f1dbacked No21c546$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7994…c512backed No36c405.91$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.184634.8%16 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1647931.6%25 W · 54 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4935…dfdabacked No28c383.97$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.511526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5942…90f3backed No29c382.05$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.54911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-58.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfcc…12a6backed No27c374.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e7…ba4cbacked No11c366.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.11130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x551e…a42dbacked Yes75c358.63$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.711526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-59.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes71c351.03$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.81637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d89…c771backed No19c346.28$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes70c300$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec09…1db9backed No11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3240…5d25backed No32c299.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5786…bb03backed No40c268.09$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No32c265$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.814429.9%43 W · 101 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91f4…7a5bbacked Yes67c253.71$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed No36c251.76$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903831.6%12 W · 26 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-37.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf00…0c1abacked No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.9wins-0.41per pick49cpaid-89.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No26c249.57$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0418540.5%75 W · 110 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61b…9d74backed No33c244.7$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.763641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e1…1b3dbacked No35c228$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.82450%12 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96e7…245dbacked No43c220.39$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa659…235dbacked No31c219.83$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+57%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1927…92afbacked No31c205.67$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.74742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+122.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf035…052abacked No27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-69.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5947…c7dcbacked No42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed No40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bd5…b74abacked Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe56…6cebbacked Yes67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2131…7325backed No27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda14…a40cbacked No37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.0wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x191e…6d52backed No35c199.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed No28c193$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.359544.2%42 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Yes72c190.08$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.221833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x376e…d654backed Yes57c182.13$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.321338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf3…bc25backed No19c174.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.591855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+54.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x369c…eab1backed Yes68c170.49$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.94146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes77c159.48$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4739034.4%134 W · 256 L-33.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x582a…7bb2backed No25c157.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.365135.3%18 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ef…f738backed No27c154.94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.