TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$350,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$403,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,286 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3898…4af0backed Yes7c35,000$2,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,601.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf3ad…0724backed Yes20c18,628$3,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,723.081435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick20cpaid+83.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes11c10,009$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.656325.4%16 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x576f…819abacked Yes2c6,674$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.38454.4%2 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c5,496$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.952221.4%3 W · 219 L-0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid+28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc6…7306backed Yes4c4,722$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.893713.5%5 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc271…1708backed No59c3,937$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.883764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41f3…844ebacked No16c3,856$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,237.6930738.8%119 W · 188 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes11c3,743$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.76392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-67.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x196b…6952backed Yes6c3,167$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.94100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes6c3,018$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5711212.5%14 W · 98 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed No37c2,902$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.3111921%25 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes7c2,825$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.27214.8%1 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.20per pick25cpaid-68.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes34c2,450$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.086934.8%24 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes6c2,352$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.813718.9%7 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a86…f8e8backed Yes18c2,150$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.65525.5%14 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-54%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d02…bb89backed Yes3c2,092$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f92…2c2dbacked No17c2,086$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.352343.5%10 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked No19c1,677$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.232347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+81.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x59b3…a039backed Yes6c1,504$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.52180%0 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x862a…8409backed Yes7c1,462$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc18b…3917backed Yes14c1,370$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.510126.7%27 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,314$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.621,0309.2%95 W · 935 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-55.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c97…8be7backed Yes29c1,229$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.131711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-76.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x073e…8416backed Yes6c1,204$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.136526.2%17 W · 48 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb57…0a46backed No75c1,085$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.941471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+46.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507711.7%9 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-53.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x573e…703cbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2178…aab5backed Yes4c1,000$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4170%0 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c6…d759backed Yes34c810$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.21128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43cf…d143backed Yes12c805$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes46c795.11$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.21,27724.3%310 W · 967 L-58.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes41c793.1$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.6124126.1%63 W · 178 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6149…8d2cbacked Yes28c726.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-60.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed No76c699.99$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1682050%10 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes5c682.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4829436.1%106 W · 188 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf70b…de8abacked Yes75c666.26$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed6…6a8dbacked Yes11c665$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked No22c624.39$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.157044.3%31 W · 39 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x96ac…2c21backed Yes62c572.02$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.651030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x378b…4c2cbacked Yes21c569.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1182642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73b9…47c4backed Yes75c560.52$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4223016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x918e…3271backed Yes31c546.23$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.33812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aea…b686backed Yes24c542.06$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.132450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7db…6688backed Yes6c507.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.13110%0 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa60f…70f0backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63f1…6272backed No24c500$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38111628.4%33 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0706…16e3backed Yes40c484.76$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8640%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3a8…70b3backed No62c450$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1711338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes6c440$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.434534.5%119 W · 226 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38bf…28e2backed Yes11c435.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.732330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9898…0a7dbacked Yes20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802650%13 W · 13 L+6.8wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+233%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes42c380$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.47538.7%29 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe3…305dbacked Yes6c374.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.694214.3%6 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes6c361.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.63580%0 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1879…3fdcbacked No71c328.71$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf847…ee6abacked Yes5c327.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa53b…4021backed Yes57c326.89$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3329747.5%141 W · 156 L+34.9wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+30.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x702c…b1e6backed No37c303.16$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.364957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+25.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No72c301$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.287832.1%25 W · 53 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfaf3…bc25backed No11c300$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.81855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+54.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd859…38c5backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa59e…73cabacked Yes29c275$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes37c274.42$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9210938.5%42 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-36.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d69…ab3abacked No79c251.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.71687.5%14 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick68cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe423…2492backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-77.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No72c241$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4814429.9%43 W · 101 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fc9…ec4bbacked Yes39c227.86$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3469…2e39backed No67c222.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec09…1db9backed No76c222.68$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.794621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d87…5ad9backed Yes7c213.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.72955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick30cpaid+110.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5669…0f13backed No76c210.49$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.525356.6%30 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed Yes79c210$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.92050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked No10c200.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.881035.8%6 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1423348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa74…78b9backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05ae…c88bbacked Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-54.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x880a…308ebacked Yes12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b42…405abacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-89.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5811736.8%43 W · 74 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f26…e28dbacked Yes6c198.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.221315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick11cpaid-32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca08…d1b9backed Yes8c195.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43af…c62ebacked No79c188.96$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.961172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4386…59ddbacked Yes33c170.33$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x681e…7ad9backed Yes9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…c4f4backed No66c152.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.45850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814a…ab7abacked Yes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes55c144.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9639034.4%134 W · 256 L-33.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb03e…1091backed No76c133.34$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.341275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed No55c129.2$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.619544.2%42 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62e3…9696backed Yes29c127.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.53812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-82.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff3…8c08backed No71c125$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.252755.6%15 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No54c124.32$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9312348.8%60 W · 63 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…d92dbacked Yes43c115.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505058%29 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…55dfbacked Yes24c112.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.095834.5%20 W · 38 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd9c8…c658backed Yes40c102$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.82821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb1…4249backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f82…4f1dbacked No16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8266…c472backed Yes34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3440%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.