Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68f69b5563c4adb083c573c0876bb13f605fc9dfc2e6cfe5b1fa72f6b907cdf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $831,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $989,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $831,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 28c | 223,690$62,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160,905.52 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 48c | 41,146$19,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,685.46 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed No | 0c | 32,233$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.38 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…1343backed No | 1c | 26,274$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd5…188fbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…cb2abacked No | 10c | 18,942$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 61c | 17,691$10,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,783.16 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 64c | 12,698$8,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,544.63 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 17c | 10,602$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,746.55 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 59c | 10,501$6,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,230.15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 10,153$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.78 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked No | 49c | 9,580$4,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,684.35 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 15c | 5,516$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.84 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…2f9dbacked No | 46c | 5,157$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…7346backed No | 80c | 4,624$3,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,685.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 42c | 4,512$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.87 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes | 48c | 3,855$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.29 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38bf…28e2backed Yes | 62c | 2,921$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.37 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Yes | 15c | 2,700$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 51c | 2,564$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.68 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 42c | 2,538$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.91 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 63c | 1,750$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 1,718$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 50c | 1,464$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.79 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked No | 66c | 1,391$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.26 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 31c | 1,385$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.41 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0493…1177backed No | 77c | 1,357$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed No | 66c | 1,320$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.99 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,157$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.02 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked No | 46c | 1,139$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed No | 78c | 1,129$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.62 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a90…68fbbacked Yes | 62c | 1,060$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.07 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…3b04backed Yes | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +276.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…0a7dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +233%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 8c | 812.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…07b9backed Yes | 52c | 802.85$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 43c | 799.94$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.96 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 48c | 705.84$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.37 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…219dbacked No | 2c | 661.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…6564backed No | 18c | 659.88$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb527…3b52backed No | 44c | 655.06$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.98 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 12c | 650.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 48c | 649.53$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.25 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…adddbacked No | 50c | 619.41$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec09…1db9backed No | 35c | 601.68$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…f68bbacked No | 2c | 551.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…35acbacked Yes | 74c | 516.38$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.89 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 4c | 511.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked No | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked No | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…97a4backed Yes | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 52c | 499.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.33 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…5962backed Yes | 45c | 499.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.64 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b21…bfa3backed No | 76c | 473.62$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff6…1369backed No | 62c | 471.17$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 65c | 470.81$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.02 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 55c | 469.63$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.33 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5377…15f7backed No | 75c | 454.48$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…2fd2backed Yes | 58c | 430.12$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…bf12backed No | 4c | 418.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 79c | 400$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.05 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 70c | 387$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.18 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked No | 76c | 380$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.8 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…4bb8backed No | 51c | 373.45$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…d6c3backed No | 79c | 329$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…42d7backed Yes | 65c | 306.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 3c | 303$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…9977backed Yes | 57c | 300$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked Yes | 34c | 297.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.38 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked No | 71c | 280.97$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 307 | 38.8%119 W · 188 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…c4f4backed Yes | 38c | 265.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 248.02$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.55 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…eeecbacked Yes | 20c | 239.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9dc1backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…5131backed No | 76c | 210.04$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 47c | 209.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…368cbacked Yes | 47c | 209.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…90f3backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…42d5backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +12.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…444cbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0443…2221backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…6a54backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +301.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…bc25backed Yes | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 49c | 199.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 65c | 190$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…d156backed Yes | 64c | 190$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dc…c05fbacked No | 36c | 186.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28a…ac64backed No | 79c | 175.2$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 33c | 169.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 218 | 15.6%34 W · 184 L | -37.8wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.