TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$405,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$401,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,464 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x25db…28debacked Yes13c26,497$3,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,553.919317.2%16 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes2c23,421$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.6120624.8%51 W · 155 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed Yes19c19,230$3,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,732.3111921%25 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda63…a0b1backed Yes1c14,286$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-74.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ef…812cbacked Yes28c9,931$2,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,812.625143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a0…c059backed No76c8,083$6,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.766346%29 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3ad…0724backed Yes16c6,492$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.541435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick20cpaid+83.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes22c6,349$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.671915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a5c…321dbacked Yes11c6,061$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.521250%6 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+70.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb57…0a46backed No71c5,114$3,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.891471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+46.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked No77c4,990$3,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.429436.1%106 W · 188 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x576f…819abacked Yes6c4,415$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.82454.4%2 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes23c4,001$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.334235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+72.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e73…6697backed Yes17c3,855$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.876033.3%20 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb971…e7aebacked No71c3,767$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.151361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b2a…160dbacked Yes1c3,669$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25180%0 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb358…eb11backed Yes17c3,570$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.51358.6%3 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-81.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed Yes14c3,554$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.635018%9 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf138…60a4backed Yes3c3,424$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.56714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes22c3,126$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.9330238.1%115 W · 187 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac3e…8150backed Yes19c2,867$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.654447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked No68c2,625$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.549745.4%44 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked No78c2,621$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.8110930.3%33 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes27c2,500$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6705115.7%8 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-11.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c6e…0617backed Yes30c2,455$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.644542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b9…47c4backed Yes33c2,367$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.963016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Yes25c2,326$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.558650%43 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…1fa7backed No74c2,250$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.996443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e6…4bd4backed No64c2,025$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.861080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8207…c570backed Yes3c1,772$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.83825%2 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c7d…6cc4backed Yes33c1,560$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.113046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x100a…0919backed No65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5252147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes1c1,420$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.46580%0 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c1,359$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82221.4%3 W · 219 L-0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid+28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac12…dac7backed Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab4…e253backed No78c1,286$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.91771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick73cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfe2…8c49backed No79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.826761.2%41 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes1c1,189$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.133718.9%7 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…55dfbacked Yes29c1,159$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3315834.5%20 W · 38 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked No77c1,073$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.895070%35 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x662d…7582backed No66c1,066$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.693100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6592…2767backed Yes2c1,030$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes29c1,029$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.1514429.9%43 W · 101 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x656a…d48bbacked No79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f49…7ce8backed Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd78…837bbacked No74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-55.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa037…2fb3backed No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901275%9 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+274.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2388…5653backed No76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2406100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbebf…4e07backed No67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e7…ba4cbacked Yes11c938.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.97130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes23c903.16$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.881,27724.3%310 W · 967 L-58.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked No75c873.94$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.752653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes13c848.15$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.263619.4%7 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-65.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes10c814.2$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4224126.1%63 W · 178 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a9…d211backed Yes16c810$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.33923.1%9 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid+19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe964…29f8backed No75c804.59$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.595100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+103%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c86…c427backed No74c800$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101080%8 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c8…c658backed Yes17c735$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.852821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0d…fbb3backed No70c719.97$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.243562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3604…bd45backed Yes20c699.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-40.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes20c696$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.211133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a90…68fbbacked No75c613.82$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.821181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa98b…6086backed No66c602.5$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.88580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes7c601$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.074420.5%9 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes8c600$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48488.3%4 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed Yes29c580.91$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7317752%92 W · 85 L+20.4wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+33.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes20c520$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105205%1 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick17cpaid-87.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a87…89eabacked No78c513.65$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.653100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22d8…3ed3backed Yes15c509.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No78c503.33$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.743348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed No79c500.12$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.682050%10 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd36b…3d32backed Yes18c500$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes8c500$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421246.5%8 W · 116 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked No79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1053141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3825…04e8backed No77c500$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.314245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ea…a98fbacked No76c463.23$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.23771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3400…4832backed Yes20c458.62$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x028c…bc32backed Yes20c450$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26a2…c5bdbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe091…163fbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3512…c2babacked Yes25c403.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9898…0a7dbacked Yes22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882650%13 W · 13 L+6.8wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+233%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6660…172bbacked No77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc18b…3917backed Yes23c389.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.710126.7%27 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes20c372.38$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1230718.6%57 W · 250 L-17.8wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcacd…9845backed Yes22c360$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9df…421ebacked No79c360$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6edb…a7c7backed No75c333$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…778fbacked Yes29c317.81$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5669…0f13backed No69c314.25$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.575356.6%30 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb225…d4a1backed Yes32c310.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid+84.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked No66c300$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.53056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967832.1%25 W · 53 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed No80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607334.2%25 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes21c299.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6310938.5%42 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-36.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7994…c512backed No76c298$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.054634.8%16 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf92c…87f7backed Yes22c287.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.212138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d0…6b25backed No74c281.61$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.61366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f5…8634backed Yes28c261.71$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8654…5b0ebacked Yes30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.