TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$280,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$268,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,267 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x25db…28debacked Yes18c13,802$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.559317.2%16 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes28c11,200$3,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,133.953429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a0…c059backed No66c8,738$5,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,012.276346%29 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a5c…321dbacked Yes13c7,936$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.31250%6 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+70.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes2c7,789$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.943718.9%7 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes13c7,713$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.486325.4%16 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed Yes10c7,078$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.2311921%25 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ba…96abbacked Yes0c7,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-61.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe2…8c49backed No60c6,509$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,608.716761.2%41 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb971…e7aebacked No67c3,659$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.811361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ad…0724backed Yes28c3,596$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.581435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick20cpaid+83.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c3,494$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.132221.4%3 W · 219 L-0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid+28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes37c3,434$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.0929436.1%106 W · 188 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe652…d114backed No67c2,586$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.443053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd36b…3d32backed Yes25c2,500$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.271827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b2a…160dbacked Yes1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25180%0 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc18b…3917backed Yes2c2,490$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.810126.7%27 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes1c2,362$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.065810.3%6 W · 52 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-56.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f0e…3165backed Yes2c2,309$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.15254%1 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-71.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked No72c2,242$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.033256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc6…7306backed Yes2c2,100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.13713.5%5 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…1fa7backed Yes33c2,100$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6936443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes28c1,838$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.634235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+72.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d5c…55dfbacked Yes43c1,793$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.145834.5%20 W · 38 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb41c…5bd3backed No71c1,629$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.417356.2%41 W · 32 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes7c1,620$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.687711.7%9 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-53.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3706…9462backed No80c1,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aea…b686backed Yes34c1,474$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.82450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b9…47c4backed Yes31c1,302$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f92…2c2dbacked No69c1,301$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.312343.5%10 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes30c1,290$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.21,27724.3%310 W · 967 L-58.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c6b4backed Yes15c1,268$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.18837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+43.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed No70c1,263$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.417334.2%25 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf138…60a4backed Yes4c1,239$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.33714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes25c1,228$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.553528.6%10 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes45c1,139$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.7614429.9%43 W · 101 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x576f…819abacked Yes19c1,114$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.77454.4%2 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes33c1,105$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.1430839.6%122 W · 186 L-17.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb358…eb11backed Yes8c1,100$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88358.6%3 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-81.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d57…c5b6backed Yes33c1,070$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.11421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e7…ba4cbacked Yes13c1,031$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.12130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc040…beacbacked Yes24c1,020$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.87932.9%26 W · 53 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+10.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes44c1,018$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.0114031.4%44 W · 96 L-0.6wins0.00per pick32cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4605115.7%8 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-11.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb57…0a46backed No54c949.99$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4371471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+46.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x073e…8416backed No78c873.74$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.966526.2%17 W · 48 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked No76c800$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1953141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed No68c800$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2565662.5%35 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed No78c800$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1742050%10 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c6…d759backed Yes33c797.24$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.84128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes41c749.97$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.9910938.5%42 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-36.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes32c705$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.0311133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c8…c658backed Yes21c657$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.512821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x618c…1d52backed Yes45c641.45$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099c…3685backed Yes3c636.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6dc…12ecbacked Yes33c600$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1957234.7%25 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes28c566.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4327322%60 W · 213 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes22c555$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.13619.4%7 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-65.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked No45c513.34$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.749745.4%44 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38bf…28e2backed No74c511.2$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.632330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5233…37c1backed No59c510$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+99.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Yes33c502.86$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.33348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac3e…8150backed Yes32c500.02$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.514447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…c7bdbacked Yes40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63f1…6272backed Yes46c454.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.411628.4%33 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes5c454.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7219535.4%69 W · 126 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd98a…cc8bbacked Yes45c441.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee98…113dbacked No70c432.75$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.782060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4651…2943backed Yes36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ad6…cc62backed Yes22c400$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c6…0c65backed Yes24c399.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac8f…feddbacked Yes41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503116.1%5 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11cb…3196backed Yes28c363.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes4c359.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.96378.1%3 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…79b8backed No68c353.93$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac12…dac7backed Yes28c353.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes16c331.09$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7339034.4%134 W · 256 L-33.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4867…a6f8backed No65c320.42$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.389758.8%57 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed No65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+48.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x493c…953ebacked Yes20c299.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc2…3c7fbacked No76c299.99$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.42070%14 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e06…d668backed Yes18c299.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-70.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked Yes30c299.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9014849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26a2…c5bdbacked Yes33c298.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7994…c512backed Yes31c295.47$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.824634.8%16 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03c4…6f4ebacked Yes22c278.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09fd…b61ebacked Yes41c275$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.753016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes36c272.2$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.886934.8%24 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed No54c267.51$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0517752%92 W · 85 L+20.4wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+33.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf8eb…8473backed Yes50c257.95$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.862015%3 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb527…3b52backed No78c257.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.336240.3%25 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…e8a9backed Yes26c252.68$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.763116.1%5 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed Yes20c240$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483414.7%5 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-57.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes44c238$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.727832.1%25 W · 53 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3749…4094backed Yes35c224.44$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes24c213.59$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.267525.3%19 W · 56 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-57.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5947…c7dcbacked No56c212.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes25c211.18$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4623323.6%55 W · 178 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5745…aa5ebacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-70.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes16c203.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.15731.6%18 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.