Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e17868f08557a366f7f6a244613eb4d8e2733362c2200b397bdaefc1ace5d1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x573e…703cbacked Yes | 4c | 60,000$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…5635backed Yes | 8c | 10,296$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 14c | 10,200$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.3 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ad…0724backed Yes | 14c | 3,360$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…819abacked Yes | 6c | 1,795$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e06…d668backed Yes | 8c | 1,625$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…7306backed Yes | 8c | 1,405$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…6f40backed Yes | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…d720backed Yes | 9c | 888.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38bf…28e2backed Yes | 13c | 731.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…b61ebacked Yes | 13c | 679.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 674.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…8409backed Yes | 17c | 589.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8207…c570backed Yes | 11c | 549.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 9c | 490$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 10c | 439.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 6c | 428$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…1909backed Yes | 10c | 259.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca6…8e5ebacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…305dbacked Yes | 12c | 163.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…d1b9backed Yes | 13c | 157.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…b29bbacked Yes | 12c | 156.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…33b5backed Yes | 12c | 151.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…e2eebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 10c | 108.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 184 | 40.2%74 W · 110 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2f…4b50backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +214.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 16c | 95.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…b959backed Yes | 18c | 84.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.