TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05ac…6d71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.24
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38%+$166.1
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$396
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$147
Dota 2: 4 Anchors and Ilmeria vs the bug - Game 2 Winnerbacked 4 Anchors and Ilmeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$336
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$114.9
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$198
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$132
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$71
Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$66.98
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$214.55
All 15 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.51
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.34
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$6.48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$38.78
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.67
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$13.16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$58.96
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.58
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,880Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+28%+$525.69
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$61.39
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or higher on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$135.85
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$213
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$174
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+52%+$513
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$70.5
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$108
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$176
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$40.49
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.89
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$938Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$562.2
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$32.4
Will the announcers say "Noise" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.84
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.94
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$532.67
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.14
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$185
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-44.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$213
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.94
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$294.46
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$974Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$384.16
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$426
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$60
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.49
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$219
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.91
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$30.9
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$49.6
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,593Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$507
Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,009.15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick70cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$106.73
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$131
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63%+$348
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+41%+$90.77
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$126.06
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$159
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$228.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$121.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.