Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc00146a77dbe0f17e69b4c5d71e9358b0e9eaae4908ab993e0fff0c566abb11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 78c | 19,673$15,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,310.23 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 27c | 17,948$4,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,854.65 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 21c | 11,113$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.87 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 19c | 9,551$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.09 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 21c | 7,831$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.47 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…55f3backed No | 79c | 6,170$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.57 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 6,106$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.11 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 19c | 5,091$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.32 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 19c | 2,999$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.99 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Yes | 20c | 2,885$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a7…16b7backed Yes | 18c | 2,712$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 76c | 2,705$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.02 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…2291backed Yes | 18c | 2,687$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…1ec7backed Yes | 18c | 2,235$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…64ccbacked Yes | 19c | 2,145$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…4393backed Yes | 17c | 1,815$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…90c7backed Yes | 18c | 1,576$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 73c | 1,530$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.97 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Yes | 23c | 1,400$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…10bebacked Yes | 17c | 1,400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 1,397$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.6 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,283$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.16 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 18c | 1,211$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.46 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,000$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.14 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…b22bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed Yes | 19c | 840$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.24 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 70c | 741.29$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.91 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 80c | 741$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 78c | 706.2$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 77c | 661.64$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.18 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 71c | 608.85$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.33 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…1362backed Yes | 25c | 606.28$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.04 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 30c | 581.85$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.59 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330d…adbdbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 18c | 499.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed Yes | 18c | 499.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 30c | 498.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.61 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed No | 75c | 417$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…5ae8backed Yes | 17c | 400.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed Yes | 18c | 400$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 80c | 394.18$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 75c | 392.8$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…73cebacked Yes | 16c | 389.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 71c | 381.24$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 20c | 361.57$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 25c | 329.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 22c | 325$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd2…87f8backed Yes | 19c | 319.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…46b8backed Yes | 18c | 313.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 21c | 302$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 19c | 300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed No | 80c | 300$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…9bc4backed Yes | 25c | 280.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed No | 77c | 279.86$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 16c | 278.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 20c | 275$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5845…f0afbacked Yes | 18c | 269.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…eeb9backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Yes | 23c | 262.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 19c | 262.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 18c | 251.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 251.7$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed No | 77c | 244.75$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…f574backed No | 78c | 233.23$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 76c | 232.51$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 70c | 229.29$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 21c | 225.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 18c | 222.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Yes | 18c | 219.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…8087backed No | 73c | 212.71$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 76c | 200$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…0179backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…1df6backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…b5adbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…494bbacked Yes | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…a963backed Yes | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…377ebacked Yes | 29c | 192.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x138f…e0bbbacked Yes | 18c | 182$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 180.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x80e5…2418backed No | 80c | 172.55$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 171.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 168.87$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…8a76backed No | 77c | 168$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 17c | 158.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 70c | 154.15$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 77c | 151.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…c395backed Yes | 18c | 145$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 70c | 131.17$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…5648backed Yes | 19c | 125.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 78c | 125$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185d…4cb4backed Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…997cbacked Yes | 19c | 117.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 69c | 117$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?this page
- Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Yes won
- Will Jennifer Gútierrez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No won
- Will Julia Salazar be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No won
- Will Julie Won be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No won
- Will Kristen Gonzalez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No won
- Will Sandy Nurse be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No won
- Will Tiffany Cabán be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.