Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc47d5386411a75a6b87c78cafd47993a42ad8b8b0df166e9722a275269449612
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 77c | 20,372$15,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,742.75 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked No | 19c | 15,440$2,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.66 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 24c | 14,195$3,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.2 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 18c | 9,496$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.03 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 20c | 6,179$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.47 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 20c | 5,749$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.05 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 79c | 5,335$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 19c | 4,514$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.3 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 23c | 2,703$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.75 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,900$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,881$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.25 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 22c | 1,631$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.53 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked No | 22c | 1,588$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 76c | 1,437$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.29 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…58adbacked Yes | 80c | 1,251$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…64ccbacked No | 19c | 1,075$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 18c | 1,070$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.87 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…73cebacked Yes | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 79c | 950$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 21c | 924.51$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.71 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 18c | 896$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 18c | 888$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Yes | 79c | 855$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.55 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed No | 18c | 837.68$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 29c | 736.27$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.72 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 74c | 711.4$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.08 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…55f3backed Yes | 77c | 684.08$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.78 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 21c | 664.83$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.42 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5845…f0afbacked No | 18c | 663.27$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 77c | 650$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 69c | 618.78$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.24 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 77c | 614.52$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.89 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…2a13backed Yes | 71c | 580.8$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 79c | 526.57$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 17c | 515.85$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 15c | 508.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…b3f3backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f1…1936backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe82f…a089backed Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 19c | 490.63$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 29c | 479$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.91 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 21c | 477$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3305…fc1bbacked Yes | 80c | 437.5$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 18c | 437.49$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked No | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 78c | 423.42$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 79c | 413$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…a0efbacked Yes | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed No | 19c | 400$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.28 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 29c | 398.79$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 31c | 390.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes | 70c | 373.41$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 372.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 80c | 363.8$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 79c | 359.77$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked No | 18c | 350.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 77c | 350$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…f154backed Yes | 76c | 334.7$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked No | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed Yes | 72c | 327$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 28c | 322.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…46b8backed No | 19c | 314.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 20c | 305.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 68c | 303.88$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 16c | 303.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 77c | 300.13$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes | 75c | 300$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 18c | 297.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…6944backed Yes | 69c | 289.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed No | 32c | 286.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…ac3abacked Yes | 71c | 279.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 78c | 265.59$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 78c | 264.93$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 71c | 259$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…9f3bbacked Yes | 80c | 253.57$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 29c | 251.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 18c | 250$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 18c | 249.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 36c | 248.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…7a85backed No | 15c | 238.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 27c | 216$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…e69bbacked No | 24c | 208.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 23c | 206.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…eb2bbacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…993cbacked Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…0179backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…3a2dbacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 24c | 196.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…730cbacked No | 30c | 193.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 28c | 193$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 30c | 189$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 15c | 188.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…eba3backed Yes | 80c | 179.53$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d1…f3e6backed Yes | 78c | 171.79$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?this page
- Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No won
- Will Jennifer Gútierrez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No won
- Will Julia Salazar be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No won
- Will Julie Won be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No won
- Will Kristen Gonzalez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No won
- Will Sandy Nurse be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No won
- Will Tiffany Cabán be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.