Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedc2dca850e6e42ef823bff376deef25f3864e7919e3df7633709005d640ec40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51f6…9f18backed Yes | 0c | 16,449$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…2ff3backed Yes | 0c | 8,586$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 43c | 3,854$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.37 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…7dc3backed Yes | 19c | 1,763$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.61 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed No | 54c | 1,522$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.15 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed No | 76c | 1,365$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.17 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,068$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.57 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 69c | 968.66$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.17 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 30c | 816$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.77 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 63c | 798.96$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.66 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…2e48backed No | 56c | 585.96$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.39 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf14a…86d2backed Yes | 2c | 540$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…6cd3backed Yes | 13c | 506.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 14c | 489.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked No | 35c | 489.47$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.16 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5130…818bbacked No | 38c | 489.47$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.47 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 23c | 455.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.41 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…c81fbacked No | 79c | 379.14$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 24c | 364.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 63c | 362.84$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.94 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed No | 58c | 330.06$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.91 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 26c | 313.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 35c | 308.27$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.11 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 37c | 291.41$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 4c | 286.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 59c | 283.91$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.53 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…5d24backed Yes | 23c | 283.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 56c | 280.33$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 74c | 271.03$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.03 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 13c | 231$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 50c | 222.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 60c | 208.04$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…75b8backed No | 80c | 188.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 19c | 188.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…63f0backed No | 50c | 177.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Yes | 30c | 172.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 166 | 26.5%44 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Yes | 61c | 164.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…7e02backed No | 76c | 163$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 16c | 162.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 48c | 156.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 54c | 152.27$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 12c | 137.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…f2a5backed Yes | 23c | 133.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 72c | 130.2$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 21c | 126.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 49c | 125.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Yes | 39c | 125.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed Yes | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…1fbabacked No | 39c | 115.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef12…8e61backed Yes | 30c | 115$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 35c | 113.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Yes | 30c | 110.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 66c | 106.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed Yes | 17c | 103.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 16c | 103.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…446fbacked Yes | 18c | 101.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…a743backed No | 74c | 99.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5731backed No | 78c | 99.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed No | 80c | 97.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 46c | 93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 40c | 92.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 76c | 91.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa907…ba96backed Yes | 34c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fec…9d17backed Yes | 17c | 90.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 41c | 88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…10b3backed Yes | 28c | 87.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed Yes | 23c | 86.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…f77fbacked Yes | 35c | 82.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…a5adbacked Yes | 25c | 82.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc868…7bd7backed No | 64c | 79.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 22c | 78.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 14c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…6674backed Yes | 64c | 73.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked No | 64c | 73.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 53c | 70.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…ab05backed No | 52c | 69.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…17a9backed No | 39c | 66.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 58c | 65.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…5a0abacked Yes | 61c | 65.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ab54backed Yes | 32c | 64.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 163 | 20.2%33 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…4cd7backed No | 40c | 64.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 40c | 64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 32c | 61.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 27c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed No | 40c | 59.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 43c | 58.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Yes | 53c | 56.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 32c | 55.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 41c | 53.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…bf1abacked Yes | 57c | 52.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…3257backed No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.