Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00328d62da50d7c852862b5087107f2bc8783db14e14c486644021b1a3ae5bad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x138c…b84abacked No | 1c | 2,710$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 66c | 1,663$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.98 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,276$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.51 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 59c | 1,254$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.3 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed No | 30c | 992.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…7a17backed No | 64c | 933.63$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.76 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 35c | 912.25$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.94 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 50c | 889.97$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.07 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 2c | 739.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 2c | 739.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 58c | 706.82$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.53 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…7dc3backed Yes | 38c | 539.5$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.09 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…75b8backed No | 69c | 533.99$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.59 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…e17fbacked No | 4c | 510$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 37c | 504.92$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.84 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 33c | 502.42$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.76 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…411abacked Yes | 30c | 471.84$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 33c | 429.05$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…5d24backed Yes | 23c | 401.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 37c | 386.35$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.69 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 29c | 365.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…710bbacked Yes | 76c | 364.53$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 41c | 331.4$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.04 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.07 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 18c | 296.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.82 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 41c | 294.57$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.45 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 57c | 293.45$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.16 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 71c | 288.42$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 67c | 280.07$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.41 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…1a22backed No | 45c | 265.49$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 97 | 83.5%81 W · 16 L | +26.5wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 76c | 263$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed No | 12c | 261.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 35c | 253.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.98 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…c4b8backed Yes | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 72c | 233.61$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 17c | 211.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.74 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…8508backed Yes | 33c | 210.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed Yes | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Yes | 71c | 199.73$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 40c | 174.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 36c | 170.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.51 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 159$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 52c | 156.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 30c | 154.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 64c | 153.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5130…818bbacked Yes | 20c | 151.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.42 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 37c | 139.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 71c | 130.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…f2a5backed Yes | 26c | 130.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.84 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 80c | 124.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 43c | 118.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x704d…aceebacked Yes | 30c | 117.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed Yes | 24c | 104.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 30c | 100.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 21c | 100.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…a5adbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…a970backed Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 57c | 99.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…f77fbacked Yes | 35c | 95.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 40c | 95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed Yes | 24c | 92.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed No | 52c | 91.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…446fbacked Yes | 22c | 82.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9954…b725backed No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 23c | 79.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 19c | 72.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…9f18backed No | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 58c | 69.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…5e65backed No | 44c | 68.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 27c | 68.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 32c | 68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed No | 38c | 66.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 24c | 66.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 47c | 65.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…32a3backed Yes | 25c | 64.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 20c | 58.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 41c | 57.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 33c | 55.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7284…b0f2backed Yes | 22c | 53.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9a…8e18backed Yes | 32c | 53.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54cf…8429backed Yes | 36c | 53.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 21c | 52.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 65c | 52.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 27c | 51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5731backed Yes | 35c | 50.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…5022backed Yes | 24c | 50.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…2841backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…95f3backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked No | 29c | 48.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed No | 67c | 47.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 45c | 43.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fec…9d17backed Yes | 35c | 43.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…d0c9backed No | 30c | 40.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1e07backed Yes | 66c | 39.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.