Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d99118bbcbdd8741a923919efd39cb4e5bfd6dba722755efd07b4dea56a82a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b85…e4a2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 13c | 4,066$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.07 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 22c | 3,618$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.44 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…e17fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,125$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.85 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,669$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 9c | 1,325$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,242$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 28c | 1,228$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.41 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 6c | 1,164$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 26c | 1,004$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.93 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 32c | 947.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d0…6d36backed No | 60c | 883.23$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed Yes | 20c | 832.05$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.31 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5a…d32abacked No | 76c | 797.41$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.43 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…0a1abacked Yes | 32c | 681.58$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.1 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 34c | 573.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.78 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…411abacked Yes | 32c | 571.54$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 21c | 512.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…7a17backed Yes | 43c | 510$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.13 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 24c | 456.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 20c | 411.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…c81fbacked Yes | 38c | 406.25$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…2e48backed No | 74c | 405.5$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.85 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 11c | 388.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 49c | 374.85$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.11 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 14c | 363.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…846cbacked Yes | 30c | 355.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 9c | 337.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…7723backed Yes | 13c | 334.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 20c | 299.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 73c | 293.45$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 25c | 288.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 77c | 283.05$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 20c | 281.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 42c | 277.48$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…1365backed Yes | 5c | 273.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 73c | 272.29$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…b286backed Yes | 41c | 266.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 77c | 263.87$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 76c | 262.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 32c | 260$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed No | 75c | 249.06$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 15c | 242.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 78c | 231.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 64c | 228.87$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked Yes | 15c | 227.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed Yes | 46c | 204.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 9c | 203.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc967…91d5backed Yes | 35c | 192.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…b978backed Yes | 23c | 178.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 11c | 174.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…6144backed Yes | 45c | 171.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed No | 69c | 170$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 53c | 162.93$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…41a2backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb5…e19cbacked No | 62c | 158.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 28c | 156.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…71adbacked Yes | 28c | 155.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed Yes | 20c | 153.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 11c | 152.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebc…cd5dbacked Yes | 42c | 152.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 80c | 151.72$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 79c | 144.32$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…17a9backed Yes | 13c | 141.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 79c | 135.28$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fec…9d17backed Yes | 41c | 134.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…51b4backed Yes | 47c | 134.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 63c | 130.2$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed No | 79c | 128.11$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca90…a8dfbacked Yes | 26c | 126.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 74c | 125.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked No | 62c | 124.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 41c | 124.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 70c | 121.3$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c51…7c37backed Yes | 32c | 116.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 10c | 115.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 35c | 109.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf694…24e3backed Yes | 32c | 107.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 31c | 105.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e5…9b42backed Yes | 15c | 104$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Yes | 43c | 99.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed Yes | 24c | 98.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…f77fbacked Yes | 24c | 96.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 15c | 94.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 55c | 92.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…f0bbbacked Yes | 18c | 90.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +190.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…0500backed Yes | 14c | 85.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…847fbacked Yes | 39c | 84.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 40c | 81.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6de…9452backed Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed Yes | 34c | 78.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…d898backed No | 62c | 75.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 35c | 74.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed No | 51c | 74.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 26c | 72.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.