TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe730…f0bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Weather, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$6.34
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.33
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Saint-Malo: Elsa Jacquemot vs Bianca Andreescubacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.69
Abidjan 2: Andrew Fenty vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.9
La Bisbal: Aliona Bolsova vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Aliona Bolsova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+158.6%+$31.79
Huzhou: Wushuang Zheng vs Yexin Mabacked Yexin Ma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Madrid Open: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.09
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Jack Kennedybacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+190.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+320.7%+$117.53
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+148.3%+$18.34
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+728.9%+$88.33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+727.6%+$147.06
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.46
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.58
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
All 5 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.46
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.9
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.59
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$11.18
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.54
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$9.21
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+246.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+246.1%+$42.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.