South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Puebla vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1d25327d9bfc163813103aa3b5d7980fb8f3363923de70c877bf3b16fccfae5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 47c | 2,750$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.05 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 73c | 1,846$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 1,678$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.16 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Under | 61c | 747.66$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.59 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 26c | 742.61$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.13 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 443.75$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.52 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 440.42$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.18 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 26c | 393.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 28c | 297.74$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Over | 45c | 263.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 17c | 223.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…7543backed Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 158.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…63afbacked Under | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked Under | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 44c | 123.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 65c | 104.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 28c | 88.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 45c | 88.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Under | 54c | 82.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 29c | 81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 26c | 75.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Under | 52c | 67.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 79c | 62.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 58.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 62c | 55.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Over | 47c | 52.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…f0bbbacked Over | 39c | 50.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 75c | 43.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…8bacbacked Over | 40c | 43.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b5…ef23backed Over | 44c | 42.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Over | 46c | 42.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Over | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 54c | 27.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 79c | 24.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 62c | 24.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 70c | 15.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Puebla vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Puebla vs. Querétaro FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Puebla vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-1.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-2.5)Club Puebla won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.