South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Puebla vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeb0e158d4f063796ddbf43f225148339c209204f1119724b5b17c49f5d3fade
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 1,608$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.36 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 51c | 1,364$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.97 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 35c | 1,261$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.32 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 50c | 962.63$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.51 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 51c | 910.97$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 893.12$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.62 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 886.58$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.62 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 29c | 602.46$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.25 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 49c | 510$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 54c | 473.38$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 49c | 351.28$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.15 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 50c | 261.04$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.22 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 260.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Over | 63c | 241.16$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked Under | 51c | 237.89$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 235.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 65c | 235.3$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 228.24$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.01 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 52c | 219.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.34 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a5…2cbdbacked Over | 48c | 199.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed Over | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 69c | 166.88$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 52c | 126.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 54c | 108.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 91.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 69c | 85.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 82.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 38c | 80.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 49c | 77.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 28c | 69.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 17c | 64.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 48c | 62.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 69c | 58.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 73c | 54.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 73c | 54.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 73c | 54.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 51c | 53.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 50c | 53.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 52c | 52.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 36c | 50.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…7095backed Under | 35c | 43.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 37c | 43.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a9…caccbacked Over | 55c | 42.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Over | 48c | 40.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 50c | 38.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 59c | 33.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 54c | 32.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 51c | 30.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Under | 52c | 28.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 49c | 22.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Over | 66c | 22.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bab…8322backed Over | 52c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Puebla vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Puebla vs. Querétaro FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Puebla vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Puebla vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-1.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-2.5)Club Puebla won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.