TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb379…7095

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Asian League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Titouan Droguetbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$191.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Tomas Barriosbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$8.27
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Gabriela Ruse vs Sinja Krausbacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Fariabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Renta Tokudabacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.97
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.57
Madrid Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.02
Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$55.13
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cinabacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$7.25
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,477Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$546.17
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,176.86
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,086Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$306.41
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$378.79
BMW Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$281.6
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,531Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$1,364.21
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.8
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.89
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 182.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.45
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$975.4
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.09
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$96.61
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
Spread: 76ers (-15.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$43.62
Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$29.99
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$15.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$114.85
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$8.38
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.64
Will Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+38%+$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.