Asian League · resolved market
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b2c7ebf7babd7aae563517c1c9355dfa722d9630e3ab73722df30a43db7adb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 4,345$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.25 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 1,295$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.18 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98f…ab1abacked Yes | 70c | 1,286$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 5c | 1,191$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.1 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Yes | 63c | 1,028$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 68c | 925.86$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.79 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 73c | 919.81$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.35 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 72c | 724$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.72 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 700.7$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.09 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 24c | 698.32$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.45 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ac…4a12backed Yes | 74c | 668.03$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 18c | 422.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.26 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 72c | 416.26$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.72 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 25c | 410.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 21c | 404.11$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.8 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…5ddabacked No | 18c | 342.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 252.75$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 79c | 213.72$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.9 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 202.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 26c | 182.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 64c | 155.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 39c | 147.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 31c | 139.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.28 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 31c | 125.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 27c | 113.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…b4dabacked Yes | 60c | 111.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed Yes | 71c | 101.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 35c | 92.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 65c | 92.76$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 71c | 85.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 34c | 85.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 64c | 85.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 55c | 84.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 65c | 84.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 75c | 67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…0b26backed Yes | 18c | 66.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yes | 70c | 65.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…09a8backed Yes | 59c | 61.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 33c | 60.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 60.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 74c | 55.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 20c | 55.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed No | 21c | 51.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Yes | 65c | 46.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 73c | 43.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 70c | 42.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…b040backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 29c | 37.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x25fa…bdd0backed Yes | 65c | 33.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked No | 76c | 33.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…85b5backed Yes | 64c | 31.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…22e9backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…970abacked Yes | 69c | 28.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x756c…651bbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4227…6c28backed No | 74c | 28.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…da9ebacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…7095backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x516e…00afbacked No | 74c | 23.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 71c | 21.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 74c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fe…c30abacked Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7b…5092backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-01?this page
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.