Asian League · resolved market
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb611f0f6acd77a9cfb48f226c81920ab62a5d5896203b080ee94e397885167c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 48c | 10,300$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 53c | 9,676$5,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,584.57 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed No | 52c | 7,061$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.12 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 46c | 3,489$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.19 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Yes | 2c | 2,042$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 47c | 1,672$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.19 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,421$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.68 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,326$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.84 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 1,157$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.11 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Yes | 28c | 732.67$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 52c | 555.76$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.37 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 26c | 486.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 52c | 441.19$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 47c | 284.57$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.66 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed No | 55c | 282.79$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 79c | 256.85$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6a…5522backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Yes | 8c | 194.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Yes | 11c | 171.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 170.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 54c | 146.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 137.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 52c | 136.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 28c | 128.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 17c | 126.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…caa0backed Yes | 46c | 122.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 44c | 114.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 109.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 53c | 104$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Yes | 15c | 100.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f6…d474backed No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 15c | 89.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf613…b2d4backed No | 51c | 84.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 72c | 79.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 72c | 71.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Yes | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed No | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 74c | 56.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 46c | 55.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 35c | 54.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 52c | 49.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 53c | 43.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…4515backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 36c | 42.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 53c | 37.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 53c | 37.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 54c | 31.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Yes | 46c | 28.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 47c | 26.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Yes | 47c | 25.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes | 46c | 22.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e8…d7b7backed Yes | 48c | 22.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9089…aafebacked No | 53c | 22.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 53c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Yes | 49c | 20.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked No | 74c | 20.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-01?this page
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.