Asian League · resolved market
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2ee62ee8115c6b704824aa837832d5b627b5ef7595f3d1e650b0f698c135579
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 7,723$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.15 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 30c | 6,755$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,754.66 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 3,927$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.89 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked No | 70c | 880.35$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 757$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.56 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 28c | 719.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.46 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 49c | 516.38$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.05 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 56c | 470$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.2 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed No | 7c | 462.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 23c | 315$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.55 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 24c | 299.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.57 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 282$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 267.59$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.25 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 71c | 251.43$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.52 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 12c | 220.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 45c | 185.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked No | 54c | 179.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 10c | 172.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 126.86$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 126.58$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.61 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 10c | 121.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 16c | 114.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 28c | 113.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked No | 73c | 102.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 47c | 92.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked No | 32c | 81.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 27c | 81.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…eb2abacked Yes | 30c | 66.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 72c | 35.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…8b2dbacked No | 60c | 16.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 77c | 16.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-01?No won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.