Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a5ce1846ce2b4dd6e1715d455532518fa42922b3bd6219e266fd94e584600ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisville Cardinalsof SMU Mustangs, Louisville Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,250 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked SMU Mustangs | 29c | 171,468$49,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,804.67 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Louisville Cardinals | 71c | 76,721$54,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,250.46 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 71c | 51,752$36,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,042.68 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed SMU Mustangs | 36c | 12,518$4,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,463.86 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 71c | 12,500$8,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Louisville Cardinals | 65c | 12,130$7,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,273.76 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisville Cardinals | 69c | 11,964$8,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,667.25 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed SMU Mustangs | 25c | 7,948$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.21 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Louisville Cardinals | 65c | 6,889$4,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.91 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Louisville Cardinals | 76c | 6,752$5,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.35 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Louisville Cardinals | 71c | 5,887$4,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.47 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 72c | 4,777$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.77 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Louisville Cardinals | 72c | 3,485$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.06 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Louisville Cardinals | 55c | 3,253$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.97 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 59c | 3,191$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.49 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Louisville Cardinals | 67c | 2,722$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.34 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked SMU Mustangs | 28c | 2,618$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.13 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…56bcbacked SMU Mustangs | 33c | 2,402$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Louisville Cardinals | 68c | 2,259$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.87 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed SMU Mustangs | 1c | 1,999$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked SMU Mustangs | 27c | 1,888$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.97 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Louisville Cardinals | 67c | 1,707$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.31 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…d946backed SMU Mustangs | 29c | 1,597$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Louisville Cardinals | 65c | 1,577$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.29 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisville Cardinals | 66c | 1,514$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.23 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…9f21backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 1,451$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.35 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed SMU Mustangs | 56c | 1,419$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.99 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Louisville Cardinals | 72c | 1,252$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.62 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Louisville Cardinals | 64c | 1,159$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.24 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed SMU Mustangs | 29c | 1,096$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.33 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Louisville Cardinals | 71c | 1,088$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.66 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 955.42$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.23 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisville Cardinals | 58c | 911.52$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.69 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Louisville Cardinals | 44c | 890.64$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.76 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…b96fbacked SMU Mustangs | 28c | 886.65$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Louisville Cardinals | 69c | 719.73$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.48 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Louisville Cardinals | 61c | 677.26$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.94 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 64c | 650.65$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.78 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed SMU Mustangs | 27c | 638.3$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.34 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed SMU Mustangs | 27c | 598.58$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68d…9b4abacked SMU Mustangs | 31c | 551.38$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.47 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked SMU Mustangs | 46c | 514.11$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.97 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed SMU Mustangs | 30c | 489.02$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 64c | 474.97$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.03 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Louisville Cardinals | 44c | 449.42$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.15 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…563fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 70c | 426.49$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…8b94backed SMU Mustangs | 28c | 414.91$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed SMU Mustangs | 24c | 414.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…64bcbacked SMU Mustangs | 60c | 409.77$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 406.36$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.41 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 69c | 398.04$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.47 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…74f1backed SMU Mustangs | 64c | 389$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Louisville Cardinals | 46c | 383.89$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.45 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed SMU Mustangs | 33c | 383.2$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.11 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Louisville Cardinals | 45c | 383$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.66 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 56c | 361.73$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.95 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…88febacked SMU Mustangs | 28c | 354.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Louisville Cardinals | 39c | 344.38$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…8fc5backed SMU Mustangs | 29c | 342.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Louisville Cardinals | 72c | 342.28$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.28 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…522fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 340.1$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 340.1$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SMU Mustangs | 47c | 303.13$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.25 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked SMU Mustangs | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x121b…c387backed Louisville Cardinals | 69c | 297.95$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb5…c553backed Louisville Cardinals | 70c | 297.8$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Louisville Cardinals | 68c | 282.08$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Louisville Cardinals | 72c | 278.85$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked SMU Mustangs | 36c | 275.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed SMU Mustangs | 28c | 248.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked SMU Mustangs | 54c | 246.24$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Louisville Cardinals | 71c | 241.55$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Louisville Cardinals | 68c | 225.18$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed SMU Mustangs | 28c | 223.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 61c | 220.3$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Louisville Cardinals | 68c | 216.5$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Louisville Cardinals | 68c | 216.5$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed SMU Mustangs | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…b72abacked SMU Mustangs | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Louisville Cardinals | 71c | 199.95$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…4bf2backed SMU Mustangs | 29c | 198.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4400…c8febacked Louisville Cardinals | 68c | 198.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4729…8cfdbacked SMU Mustangs | 46c | 173.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Louisville Cardinals | 68c | 170.78$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed SMU Mustangs | 28c | 170.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed SMU Mustangs | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 71c | 163.81$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed SMU Mustangs | 31c | 160.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed SMU Mustangs | 49c | 157.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Louisville Cardinals | 71c | 149.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed SMU Mustangs | 29c | 149.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Louisville Cardinals | 65c | 138.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed SMU Mustangs | 29c | 133.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 132.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed SMU Mustangs | 34c | 131.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Louisville Cardinals | 64c | 125.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Louisville Cardinals | 60c | 122.73$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…1a9ebacked SMU Mustangs | 55c | 120.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Louisville Cardinals | 70c | 120.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked SMU Mustangs | 45c | 115.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinalsthis page
- SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 163.5Under won
- SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-6.5)SMU Mustangs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.