TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,851
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,851 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b47…d814backed No8c4,974$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.9518253.8%98 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed No39c4,941$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.82466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No75c4,275$3,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,206.186550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes26c4,195$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,103.9638649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…e403backed Yes52c4,025$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes64c3,046$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.8627235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes69c2,811$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.922,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes35c2,702$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.7475542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe79…8955backed No74c2,661$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.820%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc18a…7c09backed Yes27c2,490$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.45933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No73c2,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.947061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked No74c1,995$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.611169.4%77 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No2c1,976$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8532345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes25c1,972$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.326444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No9c1,695$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.926319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No73c1,679$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.433971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No42c1,531$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.0574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No36c1,501$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.543357.6%19 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+52.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Yes26c1,463$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.552955.2%16 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked No75c1,313$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98515772%113 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No71c1,158$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.851163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No47c1,154$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.4853344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd039…48babacked Yes75c1,140$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.61050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c1,077$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.132,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No35c1,001$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3426548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7408343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes26c998$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.9241850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Yes27c885.37$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.326634.8%23 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No74c814.13$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.453063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c756.96$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.651,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes70c751.67$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.0114658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes65c717.16$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.076,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c705.27$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.531,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c696.99$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.3655351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes25c611.89$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.9290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21045142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No64c581.16$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.48959.6%53 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes25c567$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.2527752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes27c531.22$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.7911223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed No37c520.11$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4410058%58 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes33c492.27$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.827736.4%28 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Yes34c483.42$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.061936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes63c456.29$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4813948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No74c413.45$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9517959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No74c413.45$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9518156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked No74c399.08$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.328263.4%52 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes27c396.65$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.556229%18 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No65c384$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.69929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes27c382.48$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.2115735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x077f…ca20backed No39c370.54$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.51944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes26c367.54$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.984431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No74c364.23$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5316858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes27c354.15$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.532642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1f…f0d8backed Yes57c344.71$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.93875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Yes59c331.58$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.525151%26 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c313.97$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.342,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No74c295.32$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.546966.7%46 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9050…67c5backed Yes47c292.84$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.211030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb87…a786backed Yes27c279.71$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+68.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6556…5c7cbacked Yes35c274.57$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.47837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Yes35c274.57$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.472934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c270.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9984549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5542…01cebacked No74c255.96$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.412166.7%14 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes26c253.6$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.674129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes28c241.94$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.964959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No41c234.02$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6219244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc93f…9d2dbacked Yes34c207.05$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.681668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc72…ab9bbacked Yes44c204.26$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x151e…c6dbbacked No39c198.13$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No74c197.23$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9510168.3%69 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f2e…5b64backed No26c192.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.191030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No65c191.47$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4642043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes25c180$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13522746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked No40c165.82$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8810939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No74c164.39$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.658666.3%57 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Yes26c155.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.264131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes76c155.62$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes42c151.01$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.076339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes26c147.02$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.796428.1%18 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No50c140.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.783345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc329…0b75backed Yes74c133.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.591145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c04…9715backed Yes26c131.16$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.06714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1210547.6%50 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked No42c125.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.712560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0943…9a52backed No74c124.54$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes26c121.29$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7512233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No45c119.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544835.4%17 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8a…5391backed No75c118.13$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e6…74a9backed No74c116.72$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.371861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Yes26c110.26$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5910125.7%26 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes26c110.26$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.595653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed No37c108.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.311346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed No74c108.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.976147.5%29 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes25c104.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2815233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7314654.8%80 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2614845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407248.6%35 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No74c99.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9922658.8%133 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes26c97.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4129158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.