TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,053,878
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,104,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,053,878 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 404 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2eb1…4ea4backed No58c361,494$208,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152,944.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes42c131,147$55,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,496.2213748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c112,232$45,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,007.646,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes53c61,530$32,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,534.223426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x178d…43fcbacked No52c59,714$31,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,703.81683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No58c59,315$34,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,912.123946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes48c50,458$24,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,22011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed Yes42c50,000$21,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,0003234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed Yes48c42,517$20,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,278.141471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+41.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes44c37,658$16,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,748.7677342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c29,119$13,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,679.251,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked No51c26,749$13,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,162.421643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes40c26,236$10,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,463.482,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes49c19,784$9,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6949746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No51c14,600$7,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,154.237653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No52c14,498$7,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,935.1715949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes43c13,915$6,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,022.131,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No51c13,476$6,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,557.412,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No53c12,166$6,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,718.021,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No52c10,857$5,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,211.362560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes38c10,336$3,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,930.364,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b9…ff15backed No52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,800955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,84022744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.9890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Yes49c7,101$3,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,490.175954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No56c6,505$3,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,862.354261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No54c6,276$3,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,886.771030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Yes48c4,965$2,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.254052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc788…8545backed Yes48c4,333$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.872245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes47c4,284$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.3549544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed No53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.983650%18 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No53c3,700$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.9631053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes44c3,673$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.1653344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No53c3,333$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.4924146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4815…8ba4backed Yes47c3,296$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.12933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes29c3,222$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.6274644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Yes42c3,069$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.038757.5%50 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a42…3d14backed Yes46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.9430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2979…3d10backed Yes52c2,876$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79b…1e06backed Yes52c2,667$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e49…8c47backed Yes52c2,550$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa9…ec84backed Yes52c2,445$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ad…9595backed No55c2,420$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cea…98bdbacked No55c2,334$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f14…7f76backed Yes48c2,324$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a04…da6dbacked No54c2,313$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes38c2,242$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.86241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes24c2,240$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.325225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd591…1f54backed No56c2,207$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7d…6408backed Yes52c2,087$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes48c2,030$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.441,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9406262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ac…9309backed Yes34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.9945936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.937061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes46c1,966$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.294233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes31c1,959$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.933545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes45c1,822$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.6234628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b43…aa8dbacked No56c1,805$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c1,684$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.462,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes47c1,648$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.563342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…8ea7backed Yes33c1,644$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.832213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes25c1,612$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.089843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No52c1,589$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.7227752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked No49c1,583$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.171163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No52c1,444$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9384549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Yes49c1,385$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.584744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes42c1,381$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.1812241.8%51 W · 71 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes51c1,357$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.991346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes43c1,348$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.489451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Yes49c1,115$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.261752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3317…ab0cbacked Yes49c1,028$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No55c1,020$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.213554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf218…61babacked Yes49c1,017$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.27219.5%2 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-83.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43016346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47011750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No51c999.95$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9826651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes49c992.75$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.2453134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed No51c960.09$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.931442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes16c953.4$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6526319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5746…06cfbacked Yes17c929.88$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.081338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No52c919.98$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.5941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf67f…46b5backed Yes46c900$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No59c876.27$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.5342043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…046cbacked No54c875.16$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No54c852.27$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.054856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes46c816$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.3654128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No53c799.93$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.9748150.9%245 W · 236 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked No53c777.44$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.45044%22 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked No50c771.32$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.924238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-36.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes42c771.21$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.211,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed No51c740.26$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.341931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-48.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes45c711.78$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.4329250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No50c671.24$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.626437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes39c667.85$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.3938233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed No51c666.1$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.391947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed No53c650.55$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.763154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No50c625.65$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.718257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66cc…e4b4backed Yes48c602.47$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.191241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No53c599.95$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.987556%42 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.