TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,262

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed Over46c4,875$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.113,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under42c3,492$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.5119650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c2,926$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.62,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Over23c2,489$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.0110523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under57c1,265$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.166,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over50c1,088$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54420647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Under50c1,055$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.6810860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under58c1,000$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.1148751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over37c989.46$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.772,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over43c983.27$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.819,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c966.73$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.61,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under46c815.43$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.3368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over2c669.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8450241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under54c651.46$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.5931354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over42c620.94$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7956843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over47c612.81$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9121350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Over42c579.12$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2315034.7%52 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over21c519.03$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.071,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc15…ae53backed Under49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c363.95$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.721,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over45c303.76$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.751,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under60c298.67$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under60c293.91$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.981,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Under79c292.47$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4211873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over44c289.36$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.321,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Under44c282.54$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.626848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over58c281.86$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4131345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under57c269.16$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under57c269.16$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5129849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under57c264.26$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under56c260.58$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4242352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over14c254.68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6618835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over29c254.08$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9826336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c250.38$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.672,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Over24c247.31$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3511033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Under58c235.17$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9712540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under61c222.25$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4651647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over21c219.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.221,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under77c208.46$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.011,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under60c202.28$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3735052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under75c196.2$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5495049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under59c181.22$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.365762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over45c180.5$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7ce…14b4backed Under53c171.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2812157%69 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over40c170.22$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0947436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over44c156.22$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.593543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under60c146.4$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.566656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over44c143.57$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.172,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Under41c141.24$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.372250%11 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under56c138.04$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.741,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under63c118.13$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.437753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under40c117.7$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6749247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under55c110.92$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.911,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over58c109.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.169641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under57c102.44$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9653348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over54c101.11$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.231,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over44c95.64$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0832450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over45c95.18$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over41c94.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb7…a4b4backed Over45c85.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over44c84.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0236852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac2…f47cbacked Under78c80.37$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.683145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4cf…7ff6backed Under47c76.61$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.682580%20 W · 5 L+6.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+44.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under44c75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.641,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c73.23$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.221,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under61c71.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6457051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb379…7095backed Over42c70.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.61442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over49c67.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4455846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over43c67.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.971822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-53.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Over43c67.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9612146.3%56 W · 65 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under40c64.23$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5440750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over30c62.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.511,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Over53c60.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.338846.6%41 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1970…e980backed Under42c59.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.798037.5%30 W · 50 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under75c58.14$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6412752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over49c51.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.345,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over42c49.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.943259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under77c48.53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.159250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under77c48.48$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0444551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under78c48.26$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8241449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over47c46.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9621149.3%104 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under79c45.84$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over52c45.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.756450%32 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed Over43c44.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.323938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Over53c44.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2815562.6%97 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over55c43.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1752053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Under78c43.75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.569848%47 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Under79c42.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8727646.7%129 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Under59c39.68$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2725850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e2…13ffbacked Over59c38.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.041127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Under51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6524139%94 W · 147 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Over65c37.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2511059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Over43c36.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.767149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over47c36.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9455444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over40c35.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over41c34.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4710850%54 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad11…599ebacked Over41c34.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.471353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…8cebbacked Over49c34.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under56c33.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Over54c32.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6514157.4%81 W · 60 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.